PodPicksTracker

Ryan Kramer

Picks made on Sports Gambling Podcast, graded at 1 unit each.

Joint picks are not counted here. They are listed under the show, against the label the show uses.

Record
26-51
Season to date
Units
-15.64
77 graded picks
ROI
-20%
units per graded pick
CLV plus / minus
0 / 0
where a closing line is on record

Luck or skill

Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.

Within noise

Season to date

Units
-15.6477 graded picks
No-edge range
-78.25 to +78.25 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
Distance
-0.33 sdz score
Break-even vs actual
27.2% needed · 33.8% hit

Over 77 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -78.25 and +78.25 units nine times in ten. Ryan Kramer is at -15.64, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.

A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.

Sides versus prices

The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.

Quoted prices
-15.64
Season to date
Flat −110
-27.34
77 graded picks
Price edge
+11.70
quoted minus flat
Estimated prices
25 plays, -3.90 units
excluding them: -11.74

Ryan Kramer hit 13 of 54 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -27.34 units, so +11.70 of the total came from the prices.

Where the units come from

Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.

HostSideTotalMoneylinePropAnytime TDLadderParlay/Teaser
Ryan KramerSide -0.27 (3-3)Moneyline +2.30 (2-0)Prop -16.10 (12-30)Anytime TD +0.90 (2-2)Ladder +8.53 (7-5)Parlay/Teaser -11.00 (0-11)-0.273-3+2.302-0-16.1012-30+0.902-2+8.537-5-11.000-11

Week by week

Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date.

Units by week with the running season total: Week 1 -8.33, season -8.33; Week 2 -7.31, season -15.64Week 1: -8.33 unitsWeek 2: -7.31 unitsSeason to date through week 1: -8.33 unitsSeason to date through week 2: -15.64 units12

Every graded pick

Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air.

WkTypePickPriceResultUnitsCLVNote
1SideColts +3.5 vs Ravens (Lock)Loss -1.00Wk 1 · Side · -110 est.Lock 1-110est.Loss-1.00Lock 1
1MoneylineJets ML at Titans (Dog)Win +1.05Wk 1 · Moneyline · +105Dog of the week+105Win+1.05Dog of the week
1Parlay/TeaserTeaser: Jaguars -2.5, Chargers -2.5, Lions -1Loss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +160 est.3-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted+160est.Loss-1.003-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted
1SideRaiders -3.5 vs Dolphins (Lock)Win +0.91Wk 1 · Side · -110 est.Lock 2. Also holds -3 from earlier-110est.Win+0.91Lock 2. Also holds -3 from earlier
1SideVikings -1.5 vs Packers (Bonus lock)Win +0.91Wk 1 · Side · -110 est.Bonus lock-110est.Win+0.91Bonus lock
1Parlay/TeaserML parlay: Colts, Bucs, 49ersLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +1977 est.Price from leg MLs read on air+1977est.Loss-1.00Price from leg MLs read on air
1Parlay/TeaserML parlay: Colts, Texans, JetsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +960 est.Swapped Giants out for Jets on air. Price from leg MLs read on air+960est.Loss-1.00Swapped Giants out for Jets on air. Price from leg MLs read on air
1Anytime TDHunter Henry anytime TDLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Anytime TD · +300+300Loss-1.00
1PropByron Murphy II over 0.25 sacksLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +210+210Loss-1.00
1Anytime TDAJ Barner anytime TDLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Anytime TD · +275+275Loss-1.00
1PropMike Evans over 3.5 receptionsWin +0.83Wk 1 · Prop · -120-120Win+0.83
1Anytime TDMike Evans anytime TDWin +1.90Wk 1 · Anytime TD · +190+190Win+1.90
1PropMatthew Stafford to throw an INTWin +1.20Wk 1 · Prop · +120+120Win+1.20
1PropFirst TD: Hunter HenryLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2000+2000Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: AJ BarnerLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +1400+1400Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: Elijah ArroyoLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +3000Arroyo was active (not on the Seahawks inactive list). First TD was Eli Raridon+3000Loss-1.00Arroyo was active (not on the Seahawks inactive list). First TD was Eli Raridon
1PropFirst TD: Drake MayeLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2000+2000Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: Mike EvansLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +1400+1400Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: Jake TongesLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +5500+5500Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: Tyler HigbeeLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2700+2700Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: Terrance FergusonLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2200+2200Loss-1.00
1LadderRhamondre Stevenson 25+ rec ydsWin +0.94Wk 1 · Ladder · -106-106Win+0.94
1LadderRhamondre Stevenson 30+ rec ydsWin +1.36Wk 1 · Ladder · +136+136Win+1.36
1LadderRhamondre Stevenson 40+ rec ydsWin +2.60Wk 1 · Ladder · +260+260Win+2.60
1LadderRhamondre Stevenson 50+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +450+450Loss-1.00
1LadderRhamondre Stevenson 60+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +700+700Loss-1.00
1Parlay/TeaserParlay: Tonges, Ferguson, Barner, Henry anytime TDsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +42900Degen play. Round robin size never fixed, saved as the full four leg parlay+42900Loss-1.00Degen play. Round robin size never fixed, saved as the full four leg parlay
1PropDK Metcalf over 48.5 rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.-110est.Loss-1.00
1PropOmarion Hampton over 65.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.-110est.Loss-1.00
1PropTetairoa McMillan over 58.5 rec ydsWin +0.91Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.-110est.Win+0.91
1PropGarrett Wilson over 59.5 rec ydsWin +0.91Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.-110est.Win+0.91
1PropJoe Burrow to throw an INTWin +1.25Wk 1 · Prop · +125+125Win+1.25
1LadderJack Bech 2+ receptionsWin +0.83Wk 1 · Ladder · -120-120Win+0.83
1LadderJack Bech 3+ receptionsWin +2.25Wk 1 · Ladder · +225+225Win+2.25
1LadderJack Bech 4+ receptionsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +550+550Loss-1.00
1Parlay/TeaserParlay: G. Wilson, Metcalf, McMillan 100+ rec yds eachLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +21497Degens Only parlay+21497Loss-1.00Degens Only parlay
1PropRJ Harvey over 2.5 receptionsWin +0.91Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.-110est.Win+0.91
1PropPat Bryant over 24.5 rec ydsWin +0.91Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.-110est.Win+0.91
1PropTyquan Thornton over 18.5 rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.-110est.Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: RJ HarveyLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +1400+1400Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: Adam TrautmanLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +4000+4000Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: Xavier WorthyLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +1800+1800Loss-1.00
1PropFirst TD: Tyquan ThorntonLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +3000+3000Loss-1.00
1Parlay/TeaserSGP: Harvey TD + 30+ rec yds, Thornton TD + 40+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +7700Degen play+7700Loss-1.00Degen play
2SideJaguars +2.5 at Broncos (Lock)Loss -1.00Wk 2 · Side · -110 est.→ DK close +2.5 - Lock 1-110est.Loss-1.00DK close +2.5Lock 1
2SidePackers -3.5 at Jets (Lock)Loss -1.00Wk 2 · Side · -110 est.→ DK close -3.5 - Lock 2-110est.Loss-1.00DK close -3.5Lock 2
2SideColts +6.5 at Chiefs (Lock)Win +0.91Wk 2 · Side · -110 est.→ DK close +6.5 - Lock 3-110est.Win+0.91DK close +6.5Lock 3
2MoneylineBengals ML at Texans (Dog)Win +1.25Wk 2 · Moneyline · +125Dog of the week+125Win+1.25Dog of the week
2Parlay/TeaserTeaser: Eagles -1, Bucs -2.5, Bengals +8.5Loss -1.00Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +160 est.3-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted. Eagles and Bengals legs won, Bucs -2.5 lost (Browns won 23-19)+160est.Loss-1.003-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted. Eagles and Bengals legs won, Bucs -2.5 lost (Browns won 23-19)
2PropJosh Allen 50+ rush yds (alt)Win +3.20Wk 2 · Prop · +32069 yds+320Win+3.2069 yds
2PropJosh Allen most rushing yards in the gameLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +2000James Cook led with 135. Price read by the guest+2000Loss-1.00James Cook led with 135. Price read by the guest
2PropJared Goff over 35.5 pass attemptsWin +0.91Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.38 attempts-110est.Win+0.9138 attempts
2PropDalton Kincaid over 4.5 receptionsWin +0.91Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.7 catches-110est.Win+0.917 catches
2PropFirst TD: Dalton KincaidLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +1400First TD was a Josh Allen run+1400Loss-1.00First TD was a Josh Allen run
2PropFirst TD: Dawson KnoxLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +3000+3000Loss-1.00
2PropFirst TD: Isaac TeSlaaLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +3000+3000Loss-1.00
2PropFirst TD: Brock WrightLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +6000+6000Loss-1.00
2Parlay/TeaserParlay: Brock Wright TD + Dawson Knox TDLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +6200Degen play. Knox scored, Wright did not+6200Loss-1.00Degen play. Knox scored, Wright did not
2PropMike Gesicki over 2.5 receptionsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +110Not targeted+110Loss-1.00Not targeted
2PropTrevor Lawrence over 15.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.6 yds-110est.Loss-1.006 yds
2PropJayden Daniels over 29.5 pass attemptsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.17 attempts, Mariota also threw 16-110est.Loss-1.0017 attempts, Mariota also threw 16
2PropDe'Von Achane over 88.5 rush + rec ydsWin +0.91Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.74 rush + 19 rec = 93-110est.Win+0.9174 rush + 19 rec = 93
2PropBo Nix to throw an INTWin +1.05Wk 2 · Prop · +1051 INT+105Win+1.051 INT
2LadderParker Washington 80+ rec ydsWin +2.25Wk 2 · Ladder · +22598 yds+225Win+2.2598 yds
2LadderParker Washington 90+ rec ydsWin +3.30Wk 2 · Ladder · +330+330Win+3.30
2LadderParker Washington 100+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Ladder · +450+450Loss-1.00
2LadderParker Washington 125+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Ladder · +1020+1020Loss-1.00
2Parlay/TeaserParlay: AD Mitchell 100+ and Parker Washington 100+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +5700Degen play+5700Loss-1.00Degen play
2Parlay/TeaserParlay: AD Mitchell, Matthew Golden, Parker Washington 100+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +44300Degen play, second version+44300Loss-1.00Degen play, second version
2PropCam Skattebo over 49.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.36 yds-110est.Loss-1.0036 yds
2PropJaxson Dart over 31.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.No rushing yards, left in the first half with a knee injury-110est.Loss-1.00No rushing yards, left in the first half with a knee injury
2Anytime TDDavante Adams anytime TDWin +1.00Wk 2 · Anytime TD · +100 est.2 TDs. Quoted around +100 to +105, lower end used+100est.Win+1.002 TDs. Quoted around +100 to +105, lower end used
2PropFirst TD: Jaxson DartLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +1400First TD was Davante Adams+1400Loss-1.00First TD was Davante Adams
2PropFirst TD: Isaiah LikelyLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +2000+2000Loss-1.00
2PropFirst TD: Theo JohnsonLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +4500+4500Loss-1.00
2PropFirst TD: Patrick RicardLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +10000Active, not on the inactive list+10000Loss-1.00Active, not on the inactive list
2Parlay/TeaserGame special: Kyren Williams and Cam Skattebo 50+ rush yds each halfLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +22500Degen play. Skattebo had 36 for the game+22500Loss-1.00Degen play. Skattebo had 36 for the game