Ryan Kramer
Picks made on Sports Gambling Podcast, graded at 1 unit each.
Joint picks are not counted here. They are listed under the show, against the label the show uses.
Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Within noise
Season to date
- Units
- -15.6477 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -78.25 to +78.25 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- -0.33 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 27.2% needed · 33.8% hit
Over 77 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -78.25 and +78.25 units nine times in ten. Ryan Kramer is at -15.64, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- -15.64
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- -27.34
- 77 graded picks
- Price edge
- +11.70
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- 25 plays, -3.90 units
- excluding them: -11.74
Ryan Kramer hit 13 of 54 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -27.34 units, so +11.70 of the total came from the prices.
Where the units come from
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Host | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan KramerSide -0.27 (3-3)Moneyline +2.30 (2-0)Prop -16.10 (12-30)Anytime TD +0.90 (2-2)Ladder +8.53 (7-5)Parlay/Teaser -11.00 (0-11) | -0.273-3 | +2.302-0 | -16.1012-30 | +0.902-2 | +8.537-5 | -11.000-11 |
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date.
- Week 1: -8.33 units, season to date -8.33
- Week 2: -7.31 units, season to date -15.64
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air.
| Wk | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Side | Colts +3.5 vs Ravens (Lock)Loss -1.00Lock 1 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | Lock 1 | |
| 1 | Moneyline | Jets ML at Titans (Dog)Win +1.05Dog of the week | +105 | Win | +1.05 | Dog of the week | |
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars -2.5, Chargers -2.5, Lions -1Loss -1.003-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted | +160est. | Loss | -1.00 | 3-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted | |
| 1 | Side | Raiders -3.5 vs Dolphins (Lock)Win +0.91Lock 2. Also holds -3 from earlier | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | Lock 2. Also holds -3 from earlier | |
| 1 | Side | Vikings -1.5 vs Packers (Bonus lock)Win +0.91Bonus lock | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | Bonus lock | |
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | ML parlay: Colts, Bucs, 49ersLoss -1.00Price from leg MLs read on air | +1977est. | Loss | -1.00 | Price from leg MLs read on air | |
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | ML parlay: Colts, Texans, JetsLoss -1.00Swapped Giants out for Jets on air. Price from leg MLs read on air | +960est. | Loss | -1.00 | Swapped Giants out for Jets on air. Price from leg MLs read on air | |
| 1 | Anytime TD | Hunter Henry anytime TDLoss -1.00 | +300 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Byron Murphy II over 0.25 sacksLoss -1.00 | +210 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | AJ Barner anytime TDLoss -1.00 | +275 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Mike Evans over 3.5 receptionsWin +0.83 | -120 | Win | +0.83 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Mike Evans anytime TDWin +1.90 | +190 | Win | +1.90 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Matthew Stafford to throw an INTWin +1.20 | +120 | Win | +1.20 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Hunter HenryLoss -1.00 | +2000 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: AJ BarnerLoss -1.00 | +1400 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Elijah ArroyoLoss -1.00Arroyo was active (not on the Seahawks inactive list). First TD was Eli Raridon | +3000 | Loss | -1.00 | Arroyo was active (not on the Seahawks inactive list). First TD was Eli Raridon | |
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Drake MayeLoss -1.00 | +2000 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Mike EvansLoss -1.00 | +1400 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Jake TongesLoss -1.00 | +5500 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Tyler HigbeeLoss -1.00 | +2700 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Terrance FergusonLoss -1.00 | +2200 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Ladder | Rhamondre Stevenson 25+ rec ydsWin +0.94 | -106 | Win | +0.94 | ||
| 1 | Ladder | Rhamondre Stevenson 30+ rec ydsWin +1.36 | +136 | Win | +1.36 | ||
| 1 | Ladder | Rhamondre Stevenson 40+ rec ydsWin +2.60 | +260 | Win | +2.60 | ||
| 1 | Ladder | Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ rec ydsLoss -1.00 | +450 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Ladder | Rhamondre Stevenson 60+ rec ydsLoss -1.00 | +700 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | Parlay: Tonges, Ferguson, Barner, Henry anytime TDsLoss -1.00Degen play. Round robin size never fixed, saved as the full four leg parlay | +42900 | Loss | -1.00 | Degen play. Round robin size never fixed, saved as the full four leg parlay | |
| 1 | Prop | DK Metcalf over 48.5 rec ydsLoss -1.00 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Omarion Hampton over 65.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Tetairoa McMillan over 58.5 rec ydsWin +0.91 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Garrett Wilson over 59.5 rec ydsWin +0.91 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Joe Burrow to throw an INTWin +1.25 | +125 | Win | +1.25 | ||
| 1 | Ladder | Jack Bech 2+ receptionsWin +0.83 | -120 | Win | +0.83 | ||
| 1 | Ladder | Jack Bech 3+ receptionsWin +2.25 | +225 | Win | +2.25 | ||
| 1 | Ladder | Jack Bech 4+ receptionsLoss -1.00 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | Parlay: G. Wilson, Metcalf, McMillan 100+ rec yds eachLoss -1.00Degens Only parlay | +21497 | Loss | -1.00 | Degens Only parlay | |
| 1 | Prop | RJ Harvey over 2.5 receptionsWin +0.91 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Pat Bryant over 24.5 rec ydsWin +0.91 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Prop | Tyquan Thornton over 18.5 rec ydsLoss -1.00 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: RJ HarveyLoss -1.00 | +1400 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Adam TrautmanLoss -1.00 | +4000 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Xavier WorthyLoss -1.00 | +1800 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Prop | First TD: Tyquan ThorntonLoss -1.00 | +3000 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | SGP: Harvey TD + 30+ rec yds, Thornton TD + 40+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Degen play | +7700 | Loss | -1.00 | Degen play | |
| 2 | Side | Jaguars +2.5 at Broncos (Lock)Loss -1.00→ DK close +2.5 - Lock 1 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK close +2.5 | Lock 1 |
| 2 | Side | Packers -3.5 at Jets (Lock)Loss -1.00→ DK close -3.5 - Lock 2 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK close -3.5 | Lock 2 |
| 2 | Side | Colts +6.5 at Chiefs (Lock)Win +0.91→ DK close +6.5 - Lock 3 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +6.5 | Lock 3 |
| 2 | Moneyline | Bengals ML at Texans (Dog)Win +1.25Dog of the week | +125 | Win | +1.25 | Dog of the week | |
| 2 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Eagles -1, Bucs -2.5, Bengals +8.5Loss -1.003-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted. Eagles and Bengals legs won, Bucs -2.5 lost (Browns won 23-19) | +160est. | Loss | -1.00 | 3-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted. Eagles and Bengals legs won, Bucs -2.5 lost (Browns won 23-19) | |
| 2 | Prop | Josh Allen 50+ rush yds (alt)Win +3.2069 yds | +320 | Win | +3.20 | 69 yds | |
| 2 | Prop | Josh Allen most rushing yards in the gameLoss -1.00James Cook led with 135. Price read by the guest | +2000 | Loss | -1.00 | James Cook led with 135. Price read by the guest | |
| 2 | Prop | Jared Goff over 35.5 pass attemptsWin +0.9138 attempts | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | 38 attempts | |
| 2 | Prop | Dalton Kincaid over 4.5 receptionsWin +0.917 catches | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | 7 catches | |
| 2 | Prop | First TD: Dalton KincaidLoss -1.00First TD was a Josh Allen run | +1400 | Loss | -1.00 | First TD was a Josh Allen run | |
| 2 | Prop | First TD: Dawson KnoxLoss -1.00 | +3000 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Prop | First TD: Isaac TeSlaaLoss -1.00 | +3000 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Prop | First TD: Brock WrightLoss -1.00 | +6000 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Parlay/Teaser | Parlay: Brock Wright TD + Dawson Knox TDLoss -1.00Degen play. Knox scored, Wright did not | +6200 | Loss | -1.00 | Degen play. Knox scored, Wright did not | |
| 2 | Prop | Mike Gesicki over 2.5 receptionsLoss -1.00Not targeted | +110 | Loss | -1.00 | Not targeted | |
| 2 | Prop | Trevor Lawrence over 15.5 rush ydsLoss -1.006 yds | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | 6 yds | |
| 2 | Prop | Jayden Daniels over 29.5 pass attemptsLoss -1.0017 attempts, Mariota also threw 16 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | 17 attempts, Mariota also threw 16 | |
| 2 | Prop | De'Von Achane over 88.5 rush + rec ydsWin +0.9174 rush + 19 rec = 93 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | 74 rush + 19 rec = 93 | |
| 2 | Prop | Bo Nix to throw an INTWin +1.051 INT | +105 | Win | +1.05 | 1 INT | |
| 2 | Ladder | Parker Washington 80+ rec ydsWin +2.2598 yds | +225 | Win | +2.25 | 98 yds | |
| 2 | Ladder | Parker Washington 90+ rec ydsWin +3.30 | +330 | Win | +3.30 | ||
| 2 | Ladder | Parker Washington 100+ rec ydsLoss -1.00 | +450 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Ladder | Parker Washington 125+ rec ydsLoss -1.00 | +1020 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Parlay/Teaser | Parlay: AD Mitchell 100+ and Parker Washington 100+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Degen play | +5700 | Loss | -1.00 | Degen play | |
| 2 | Parlay/Teaser | Parlay: AD Mitchell, Matthew Golden, Parker Washington 100+ rec ydsLoss -1.00Degen play, second version | +44300 | Loss | -1.00 | Degen play, second version | |
| 2 | Prop | Cam Skattebo over 49.5 rush ydsLoss -1.0036 yds | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | 36 yds | |
| 2 | Prop | Jaxson Dart over 31.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00No rushing yards, left in the first half with a knee injury | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | No rushing yards, left in the first half with a knee injury | |
| 2 | Anytime TD | Davante Adams anytime TDWin +1.002 TDs. Quoted around +100 to +105, lower end used | +100est. | Win | +1.00 | 2 TDs. Quoted around +100 to +105, lower end used | |
| 2 | Prop | First TD: Jaxson DartLoss -1.00First TD was Davante Adams | +1400 | Loss | -1.00 | First TD was Davante Adams | |
| 2 | Prop | First TD: Isaiah LikelyLoss -1.00 | +2000 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Prop | First TD: Theo JohnsonLoss -1.00 | +4500 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Prop | First TD: Patrick RicardLoss -1.00Active, not on the inactive list | +10000 | Loss | -1.00 | Active, not on the inactive list | |
| 2 | Parlay/Teaser | Game special: Kyren Williams and Cam Skattebo 50+ rush yds each halfLoss -1.00Degen play. Skattebo had 36 for the game | +22500 | Loss | -1.00 | Degen play. Skattebo had 36 for the game |