Sean Green

Picks made on Sports Gambling Podcast, graded at 1 unit each.

Joint picks are not counted here. They are listed under the show, against the label the show uses.

Showing

Record

12-60

Season to date

Units

-46.45

72 graded picks

ROI

-65%

units per graded pick

CLV plus / minus

0 / 1

where a closing line is on record

Luck or skill

Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.

Leaning below the price

Season to date

Units: -46.4572 graded picks
No-edge range: -66.07 to +66.09 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
Distance: -1.16 sdz score
Break-even vs actual: 26.7% needed · 16.7% hit

Over 72 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -66.07 and +66.09 units nine times in ten. Sean Green is at -46.45, which is near the edge of that range, so this is suggestive, but it is not settled.

A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.

Sides versus prices

The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.

Quoted prices: -46.45; Season to date
Flat −110: -49.08; 72 graded picks
Price edge: +2.63; quoted minus flat
Estimated prices: 26 plays, -8.12 units; excluding them: -38.33

Sean Green hit 4 of 48 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -49.08 units, so +2.63 of the total came from the prices.

Where the units come from

Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.

Host	Side	Total	Moneyline	Prop	Anytime TD	Ladder	Parlay/Teaser
Sean GreenSide -0.27 (3-3)Moneyline -2.00 (0-2)Prop -23.88 (7-31)Anytime TD -2.90 (1-5)Ladder -12.00 (0-12)Parlay/Teaser -5.40 (1-7)	-0.273-3		-2.000-2	-23.887-31	-2.901-5	-12.000-12	-5.401-7

Week by week

Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date.

Every graded pick

Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air.

Wk	Type	Pick	Price	Result	Units	CLV	Note
1	Side	Steelers -3 vs Falcons (Lock)Win +0.91Wk 1 · Side · -110 est.Lock 1. Said -3 on air, had -3 at Circa	-110est.	Win	+0.91		Lock 1. Said -3 on air, had -3 at Circa
1	Moneyline	Dolphins ML at Raiders (Dog)Loss -1.00Wk 1 · Moneyline · +155 est.Dog of the week. Price not quoted, estimated from the -185/+155 area read on air	+155est.	Loss	-1.00		Dog of the week. Price not quoted, estimated from the -185/+155 area read on air
1	Parlay/Teaser	Teaser: Broncos +8.5, Chargers -2.5, Colts +9.5Loss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +160 est.3-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted	+160est.	Loss	-1.00		3-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted
1	Side	Bucs +3.5 at Bengals (Lock)Loss -1.00Wk 1 · Side · -110 est.Lock 2	-110est.	Loss	-1.00		Lock 2
1	Side	Eagles -4.5 vs Commanders (Bonus lock)Loss -1.00Wk 1 · Side · -110 est.Bonus lock	-110est.	Loss	-1.00		Bonus lock
1	Parlay/Teaser	ML parlay: Bucs, Dolphins, SaintsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +2425 est.Called a moneyline round robin, size never stated, saved as one ticket. Price from leg MLs read on air	+2425est.	Loss	-1.00		Called a moneyline round robin, size never stated, saved as one ticket. Price from leg MLs read on air
1	Prop	Hunter Henry over 33.5 rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.	-110est.	Loss	-1.00
1	Prop	AJ Brown under 4.5 receptionsWin +1.42Wk 1 · Prop · +142	+142	Win	+1.42
1	Prop	George Kittle under 37.5 rec ydsWin +0.91Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.	-110est.	Win	+0.91
1	Anytime TD	Jake Tonges anytime TDLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Anytime TD · +650	+650	Loss	-1.00
1	Anytime TD	Mike Evans anytime TDWin +2.10Wk 1 · Anytime TD · +210	+210	Win	+2.10
1	Prop	First TD: Hunter HenryLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2000Co-signed Kramer's card	+2000	Loss	-1.00		Co-signed Kramer's card
1	Prop	First TD: AJ BarnerLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +1400Co-signed Kramer's card	+1400	Loss	-1.00		Co-signed Kramer's card
1	Prop	First TD: Elijah ArroyoLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +3000Co-signed Kramer's card. Arroyo was active. First TD was Eli Raridon	+3000	Loss	-1.00		Co-signed Kramer's card. Arroyo was active. First TD was Eli Raridon
1	Prop	First TD: Drake MayeLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2000Co-signed Kramer's card	+2000	Loss	-1.00		Co-signed Kramer's card
1	Prop	First TD: Terrance FergusonLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2200	+2200	Loss	-1.00
1	Prop	First TD: Tyler HigbeeLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2700	+2700	Loss	-1.00
1	Prop	First TD: Brock PurdyLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +3000	+3000	Loss	-1.00
1	Prop	First TD: Jake TongesLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +5500	+5500	Loss	-1.00
1	Ladder	AJ Barner 1+ TDLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +285	+285	Loss	-1.00
1	Ladder	AJ Barner 2+ TDsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +2500	+2500	Loss	-1.00
1	Anytime TD	Jake Tonges 2+ TDsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Anytime TD · +10000Degen play	+10000	Loss	-1.00		Degen play
1	Parlay/Teaser	Parlay: Jake Tonges TD + Kaelon Black TDLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +7000Degen play, Novig	+7000	Loss	-1.00		Degen play, Novig
1	Prop	DK Metcalf over 48.5 rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.Co-signed Kramer	-110est.	Loss	-1.00		Co-signed Kramer
1	Prop	David Montgomery over 50.5 rush ydsWin +0.91Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.	-110est.	Win	+0.91
1	Anytime TD	Cade Otton anytime TDLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Anytime TD · +350	+350	Loss	-1.00
1	Prop	Jordan Love under 238.5 pass ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.	-110est.	Loss	-1.00
1	Prop	Devaughn Vele over 38.5 rec ydsWin +0.91Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.	-110est.	Win	+0.91
1	Ladder	Malik Willis 40+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · -105	-105	Loss	-1.00
1	Ladder	Malik Willis 50+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +183	+183	Loss	-1.00
1	Ladder	Malik Willis 60+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +335	+335	Loss	-1.00
1	Ladder	Malik Willis 70+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +581	+581	Loss	-1.00
1	Ladder	Malik Willis 80+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Ladder · +1000	+1000	Loss	-1.00
1	Parlay/Teaser	Parlay: Malik Willis 100+ rush yds + Cade Otton TDLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Parlay/Teaser · +12000Degens Only parlay, quoted about 120 to 1	+12000	Loss	-1.00		Degens Only parlay, quoted about 120 to 1
1	Prop	Kenneth Walker under 61.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.	-110est.	Loss	-1.00
1	Prop	Nik Bonitto over 0.25 sacksLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +100 est.Said about even money	+100est.	Loss	-1.00		Said about even money
1	Prop	Patrick Mahomes under 13.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · -110 est.	-110est.	Loss	-1.00
1	Prop	First TD: Bo NixLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Prop · +2700	+2700	Loss	-1.00
1	Anytime TD	Bo Nix 2+ TDsLoss -1.00Wk 1 · Anytime TD · +8000Degen play	+8000	Loss	-1.00		Degen play
2	Side	Bills -5.5 vs Lions (Lock)Win +0.91Wk 2 · Side · -110 est.↓ DK close -4.5 - Lock 1, Circa number	-110est.	Win	+0.91	DK close -4.5	Lock 1, Circa number
2	Side	Bears -4.5 vs Vikings (Lock)Loss -1.00Wk 2 · Side · -110 est.→ DK close -4.5 - Lock 2	-110est.	Loss	-1.00	DK close -4.5	Lock 2
2	Side	Saints +8.5 at Ravens (Lock)Win +0.91Wk 2 · Side · -110 est.→ DK close +8.5 - Lock 3	-110est.	Win	+0.91	DK close +8.5	Lock 3
2	Moneyline	Commanders ML at Cowboys (Dog)Loss -1.00Wk 2 · Moneyline · +180Dog of the week	+180	Loss	-1.00		Dog of the week
2	Parlay/Teaser	Teaser: Eagles -1, Bengals +8.5, Rams -1Win +1.60Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +160 est.3-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted	+160est.	Win	+1.60		3-team 6 point teaser, price not quoted
2	Prop	Josh Allen over 249.5 pass ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -108248 yds	-108	Loss	-1.00		248 yds
2	Prop	Jahmyr Gibbs over 18.5 rush attemptsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.16 attempts	-110est.	Loss	-1.00		16 attempts
2	Anytime TD	Khalil Shakir anytime TDLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Anytime TD · +210	+210	Loss	-1.00
2	Prop	First TD: Dawson KnoxLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +3000First TD was a Josh Allen run	+3000	Loss	-1.00		First TD was a Josh Allen run
2	Prop	First TD: Khalil ShakirLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +1600	+1600	Loss	-1.00
2	Prop	First TD: Detroit defenseLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +4000	+4000	Loss	-1.00
2	Prop	First TD: Brock WrightLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +6000	+6000	Loss	-1.00
2	Parlay/Teaser	Parlay: Shakir 2+ TDs + Detroit defensive TDLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +13500Degen play	+13500	Loss	-1.00		Degen play
2	Prop	Carson Wentz over 0.5 INTsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -130 est.0 INTs	-130est.	Loss	-1.00		0 INTs
2	Prop	Jordan Addison over 34.5 rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -11021 yds	-110	Loss	-1.00		21 yds
2	Prop	Tyler Warren over 4.5 receptionsWin +0.91Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.6 catches	-110est.	Win	+0.91		6 catches
2	Prop	Bryce Lance over 16.5 rec ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.8 yds	-110est.	Loss	-1.00		8 yds
2	Prop	Stefon Diggs over 46.5 rec ydsWin +0.91Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.47 yds for Washington at Dallas	-110est.	Win	+0.91		47 yds for Washington at Dallas
2	Ladder	Saquon Barkley 100+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Ladder · +2294 carries, 9 yds	+229	Loss	-1.00		4 carries, 9 yds
2	Ladder	Saquon Barkley 110+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Ladder · +347	+347	Loss	-1.00
2	Ladder	Saquon Barkley 120+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Ladder · +515	+515	Loss	-1.00
2	Ladder	Saquon Barkley 130+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Ladder · +760	+760	Loss	-1.00
2	Ladder	Saquon Barkley 140+ rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Ladder · +1100	+1100	Loss	-1.00
2	Parlay/Teaser	SGP: Bears -4.5, Josh Oliver TD, Carson Wentz TDLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +29197Degen play. All 12 points were field goals	+29197	Loss	-1.00		Degen play. All 12 points were field goals
2	Prop	Cam Skattebo over 49.5 rush ydsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.36 yds. Same angle as Kramer	-110est.	Loss	-1.00		36 yds. Same angle as Kramer
2	Prop	Isaiah Likely under 4.5 receptionsLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · -110 est.5 catches	-110est.	Loss	-1.00		5 catches
2	Prop	Matthew Stafford to throw an INTWin +1.15Wk 2 · Prop · +1151 INT	+115	Win	+1.15		1 INT
2	Prop	First TD: Isaiah LikelyLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +2000First TD was Davante Adams	+2000	Loss	-1.00		First TD was Davante Adams
2	Prop	First TD: Odell Beckham Jr.Loss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +8000Active, not on the inactive list	+8000	Loss	-1.00		Active, not on the inactive list
2	Prop	First TD: Konata MumpfieldLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +3000	+3000	Loss	-1.00
2	Prop	First TD: Xavier SmithLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +5500	+5500	Loss	-1.00
2	Prop	First TD: Davis AllenLoss -1.00Wk 2 · Prop · +4200	+4200	Loss	-1.00
2	Parlay/Teaser	Parlay: Ronnie Rivers TD + Rams -6.5Loss -1.00Wk 2 · Parlay/Teaser · +5000Degen play. Rivers did not record a stat	+5000	Loss	-1.00		Degen play. Rivers did not record a stat