Stuckey
Picks made on Action Network, graded at 1 unit each.
Joint picks are not counted here. They are listed under the show, against the label the show uses.
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Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Within noise
Season to date
- Units
- +5.3746 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -11.31 to +11.35 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- +0.78 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 51.2% needed · 58.7% hit
Over 46 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -11.31 and +11.35 units nine times in ten. Stuckey is at +5.37, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- +5.37
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- +5.57
- 46 graded picks
- Price edge
- -0.20
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- 33 plays, +8.86 units
- excluding them: -3.49
Stuckey hit 0 of 2 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth +5.57 units, so the prices cost 0.20 units.
Where the units come from
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Host | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StuckeySide +2.25 (19-15-1)Total +3.46 (6-2)Prop -2.00 (0-2)Parlay/Teaser +1.66 (2-0) | +2.2519-15-1 | +3.466-2 | -2.000-2 | +1.662-0 |
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date.
- Week 1: -2.36 units, season to date -2.36
- Week 2: +3.55 units, season to date +1.19
- Week 3: +2.43 units, season to date +3.62
- Week 4: +0.65 units, season to date +4.27
- Week 5: +1.73 units, season to date +6.00
- Week 6: +0.64 units, season to date +6.64
- Week 7: -0.18 units, season to date +6.46
- Week 8: -1.09 units, season to date +5.37
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air.
| Wk | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Side | Patriots +3.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Side | Rams -3.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Side | Texans first halfLoss -1.00Line not quoted on air | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | Line not quoted on air | |
| 1 | Side | Texans +1.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Total | Packers-Vikings under 46.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Total | Dolphins-Raiders over 41Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Total | Ravens-Colts over 48Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Total | Cowboys-Giants under 48.5Win +0.91↑ +1 (DK closed 47.5) | -110 | Win | +0.91 | +1 (DK closed 47.5) | |
| 1 | Total | Broncos-Chiefs under 43.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Side | Panthers +3Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Side | Broncos -2.5Win +0.91→ DK close -2.5 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close -2.5 | |
| 2 | Side | Rams -7Win +0.91↓ DK close -6.5 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close -6.5 | |
| 2 | Side | Titans +7Win +0.91↑ DK close +6.5 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +6.5 | |
| 2 | Total | Saints-Ravens under 47Win +0.91↑ DK close 45.5 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close 45.5 | |
| 2 | Side | Bills -4.5Win +0.91→ DK close -4.5 - Bills or nothing, both hosts | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close -4.5 | Bills or nothing, both hosts |
| 2 | Side | Buccaneers -8.5Loss -1.00→ DK close -8.5 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK close -8.5 | |
| 3 | Side | Buccaneers +1.5Loss -1.00→ DK close +1.5 - Six-pack and contest pick | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK close +1.5 | Six-pack and contest pick |
| 3 | Side | Ravens -3.5Loss -1.00Six-pack and contest pick at the DK number. He personally bet -3 at -118 that morning | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | Six-pack and contest pick at the DK number. He personally bet -3 at -118 that morning | |
| 3 | Side | Steelers +3.5Win +0.91→ DK close +3.5 - Six-pack and contest pick, stated as catching over a field goal. Number from the Bengals -3.5 market | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +3.5 | Six-pack and contest pick, stated as catching over a field goal. Number from the Bengals -3.5 market |
| 3 | Side | Falcons +5.5Win +0.91↑ DK close +4.5 - Played at 6, 6.5 and 5.5, nothing big | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +4.5 | Played at 6, 6.5 and 5.5, nothing big |
| 3 | Side | Bears +4.5Win +0.91↑ DK close +3.5 - Bet on the Sunday Discord show, still on it | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +3.5 | Bet on the Sunday Discord show, still on it |
| 3 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Titans +8.5 + Broncos +8.5Win +0.83Teaser of the week. Said on air as Broncos over eight and Titans over eight, both teased 6 from +2.5 | -120est. | Win | +0.83 | Teaser of the week. Said on air as Broncos over eight and Titans over eight, both teased 6 from +2.5 | |
| 3 | Side | Jaguars -2.5Win +0.87↑ DK est close -3 - Said at 22:20 at -115 and told listeners at 26:39 it is fine up to -120. Evan has it as his six-pack pick. | -115 | Win | +0.87 | DK est close -3 | Said at 22:20 at -115 and told listeners at 26:39 it is fine up to -120. Evan has it as his six-pack pick. |
| 3 | Side | Ravens -3Push 0.00Said he played it that morning at -118. Separate play from the -3.5 six-pack row (F4). | -118 | Push | 0.00 | Said he played it that morning at -118. Separate play from the -3.5 six-pack row (F4). | |
| 4 | Side | Texans -2.5Loss -1.00→ DK close -2.5 - Six-pack and contest pick, his favorite bet. Fine up to -115 or -120 | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK close -2.5 | Six-pack and contest pick, his favorite bet. Fine up to -115 or -120 |
| 4 | Side | Dolphins +10.5Win +0.91↑ DK close +9.5 - Six-pack and contest pick at the DK number. He personally took +11 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +9.5 | Six-pack and contest pick at the DK number. He personally took +11 |
| 4 | Side | Jets +3.5Loss -1.00→ DK close +3.5 - Six-pack and contest pick | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK close +3.5 | Six-pack and contest pick |
| 4 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Giants +8.5 + Falcons +8.5Win +0.83Teaser of the week, both teased 6 from +2.5 and described as over eight. He called it a weak teaser week | -120est. | Win | +0.83 | Teaser of the week, both teased 6 from +2.5 and described as over eight. He called it a weak teaser week | |
| 4 | Side | Dolphins +11Win +0.91Said in the Dolphins-Vikings chapter that he took 11. His +10.5 six-pack pick came 37 minutes later in the recap, so it is a separate play. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | Said in the Dolphins-Vikings chapter that he took 11. His +10.5 six-pack pick came 37 minutes later in the recap, so it is a separate play. | |
| 5 | Side | Steelers -2.5 vs ColtsWin +0.91↑ DK via VegasInsider close -3 - Contest pick, his first favorite bet (16:40). Thinks it should be a full 3. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close -3 | Contest pick, his first favorite bet (16:40). Thinks it should be a full 3. |
| 5 | Side | Seahawks -2.5 vs 49ersLoss -1.00↑ DK via VegasInsider close -3 - Contest pick (34:23). Line was called a juiced 2.5 and the juice was not quoted. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close -3 | Contest pick (34:23). Line was called a juiced 2.5 and the juice was not quoted. |
| 5 | Side | Packers +2.5 vs BearsWin +0.91↑ DK via VegasInsider close +1.5 - Bet and contest pick. Says he played the Packers here (27:07). His own number not stated, so the contest number 2.5 is used. Also told listeners to shop for +3 up to -125. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close +1.5 | Bet and contest pick. Says he played the Packers here (27:07). His own number not stated, so the contest number 2.5 is used. Also told listeners to shop for +3 up to -125. |
| 5 | Side | Ravens +3.5 at FalconsWin +0.91→ DK via VegasInsider close +3.5 - Bet. Says he played Ravens +3.5 and took the 3.5 expecting a close of 3 or less (59:14, 1:01:08). Not a bet he loves. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close +3.5 | Bet. Says he played Ravens +3.5 and took the 3.5 expecting a close of 3 or less (59:14, 1:01:08). Not a bet he loves. |
| 6 | Side | Buccaneers +2.5 vs SteelersLoss -1.00→ DK backfill (Statsniper + SBR) close +2.5 - Contest pick (21:37, 25:34). Hoping a +3 pops, says he will be on the Bucs regardless. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK backfill (Statsniper + SBR) close +2.5 | Contest pick (21:37, 25:34). Hoping a +3 pops, says he will be on the Bucs regardless. |
| 6 | Side | Raiders +6 vs BillsWin +0.91↑ DK backfill (Statsniper + SBR) close +5.5 - Bet. First bet of the week, took some sixes when they were out (31:54). | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK backfill (Statsniper + SBR) close +5.5 | Bet. First bet of the week, took some sixes when they were out (31:54). |
| 6 | Side | Raiders +5.5 vs BillsWin +0.91→ DK backfill (Statsniper + SBR) close +5.5 - Contest pick at 5.5 (1:15:50). Still likes it at 5.5 (31:59). Different number from his +6 bet, so both count. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK backfill (Statsniper + SBR) close +5.5 | Contest pick at 5.5 (1:15:50). Still likes it at 5.5 (31:59). Different number from his +6 bet, so both count. |
| 6 | Side | Saints -1.5 at GiantsWin +0.91→ DK backfill (Statsniper + VegasInsider + SBR) close -1.5 - Contest pick, called -1.5 at DraftKings (1:15:50). Also says he bet the Saints earlier as an underdog, number not stated (44:08), so the discussed number is used and it counts once. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK backfill (Statsniper + VegasInsider + SBR) close -1.5 | Contest pick, called -1.5 at DraftKings (1:15:50). Also says he bet the Saints earlier as an underdog, number not stated (44:08), so the discussed number is used and it counts once. |
| 6 | Total | Ravens at Browns under 43Win +0.91↑ DK backfill (Statsniper + VegasInsider) close 39.5 - Named play. Calls under 43 his official pick this week (39:30, 43:45). DraftKings showed 42.5 juiced to the over. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK backfill (Statsniper + VegasInsider) close 39.5 | Named play. Calls under 43 his official pick this week (39:30, 43:45). DraftKings showed 42.5 juiced to the over. |
| 6 | Prop | Seahawks margin of victory 1 to 6 vs BroncosLoss -1.00Bet. Says he will bet both margin bands small (13:46). Quoted as about 3 to 1. | +300 | Loss | -1.00 | Bet. Says he will bet both margin bands small (13:46). Quoted as about 3 to 1. | |
| 6 | Prop | Seahawks margin of victory 7 to 12 vs BroncosLoss -1.00Bet. Second band of the same call (13:54), about +470. | +470 | Loss | -1.00 | Bet. Second band of the same call (13:54), about +470. | |
| 7 | Side | Texans -10.5 vs GiantsLoss -1.00↓ DK via VegasInsider close -10 - Contest pick (19:25, 1:10:08). A burial, out to 10.5 on sharp money, good up to 10.5. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close -10 | Contest pick (19:25, 1:10:08). A burial, out to 10.5 on sharp money, good up to 10.5. |
| 7 | Side | Seahawks -2.5 vs ChiefsWin +0.91↑ DK via VegasInsider close -3 - Contest pick and a bet (54:42, 57:12, 1:10:11). I played Seattle, line should be 3. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close -3 | Contest pick and a bet (54:42, 57:12, 1:10:11). I played Seattle, line should be 3. |
| 7 | Side | Titans +1.5 vs BrownsLoss -1.00→ DK via VegasInsider close +1.5 - Contest pick and a bet (38:05, 1:10:16). I bet the Titans, they're in the six-pack. Fade Watson as a road favorite. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close +1.5 | Contest pick and a bet (38:05, 1:10:16). I bet the Titans, they're in the six-pack. Fade Watson as a road favorite. |
| 7 | Total | Bengals at Ravens under 48.5Win +0.91↑ DK via VegasInsider close 46.5 - Named play. Official Ravens play of the week (35:25), expects Lamar out and a game played in a box. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close 46.5 | Named play. Official Ravens play of the week (35:25), expects Lamar out and a game played in a box. |
| 8 | Side | Buccaneers -2.5 vs FalconsWin +0.91↓ DK via VegasInsider close -1.5 - Contest pick, named play (16:47, 1:14:00). Favorite bet, Tampa gets it done at home. No price quoted. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close -1.5 | Contest pick, named play (16:47, 1:14:00). Favorite bet, Tampa gets it done at home. No price quoted. |
| 8 | Side | Ravens +3.5 at BillsLoss -1.00↑ DK via VegasInsider close +3 - Contest pick and a bet (33:47, 36:00, 1:14:16). I took the Ravens plus 3.5, large amount on it. Recap: juice is fine up to -125, saved at -125 estimated. | -125est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close +3 | Contest pick and a bet (33:47, 36:00, 1:14:16). I took the Ravens plus 3.5, large amount on it. Recap: juice is fine up to -125, saved at -125 estimated. |
| 8 | Side | Jets -1.5 vs RaidersLoss -1.00→ DK via VegasInsider close -1.5 - Contest pick and a bet (47:50, 1:14:20). I played the Jets. Recap: call it -1.5. No price quoted. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close -1.5 | Contest pick and a bet (47:50, 1:14:20). I played the Jets. Recap: call it -1.5. No price quoted. |