Gallant
Picks made on Anytime TD Show, graded at 1 unit each.
Joint picks are not counted here. They are listed under the show, against the label the show uses.
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Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Within noise
Season to date
- Units
- -10.8575 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -27.59 to +27.59 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- -0.65 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 26.0% needed · 24.0% hit
Over 75 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -27.59 and +27.59 units nine times in ten. Gallant is at -10.85, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- -10.85
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- -40.62
- 75 graded picks
- Price edge
- +29.77
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- 5 plays, +4.75 units
- excluding them: -15.60
Gallant hit 18 of 77 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -40.62 units, so +29.77 of the total came from the prices.
Where the units come from
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Host | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GallantProp -1.00 (0-1)Anytime TD -9.85 (18-56) | -1.000-1 | -9.8518-56 |
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date.
- Week 1: +16.40 units, season to date +16.40
- Week 2: -4.90 units, season to date +11.50
- Week 3: -2.30 units, season to date +9.20
- Week 4: -10.00 units, season to date -0.80
- Week 5: -7.50 units, season to date -8.30
- Week 6: -0.75 units, season to date -9.05
- Week 7: +3.10 units, season to date -5.95
- Week 8: -4.90 units, season to date -10.85
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air.
| Wk | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anytime TD | Bhayshul TutenLoss -1.00 | +140 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Harold Fannin Jr.Loss -1.00 | +425 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Devaughn VeleWin +4.00 | +400 | Win | +4.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Jameson WilliamsLoss -1.00 | +180 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Malik WillisWin +3.40 | +340 | Win | +3.40 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Jack BechWin +8.00 | +800 | Win | +8.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Justin JeffersonWin +1.80 | +180 | Win | +1.80 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Christian WatsonWin +2.20 | +220 | Win | +2.20 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Garrett WilsonWin +2.10 | +210 | Win | +2.10 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Matthew GoldenLoss -1.00 | +240 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Tee HigginsLoss -1.00 | +200 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Dalton SchultzLoss -1.00 | +240 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Roman WilsonLoss -1.00 | +750 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Kyle WilliamsLoss -1.00 | +950 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Terry McLaurinLoss -1.00 | +200 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Ryan FlournoyLoss -1.00 | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Trevor Lawrence anytime TD (NE@JAX)Loss -1.00 | +300 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Romeo Doubs anytime TD (NE@JAX)Loss -1.00 | +300 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Tee Higgins anytime TD (CIN@PIT)Win +2.00Favorite TD bet of the week. Also saw +190 | +200 | Win | +2.00 | Favorite TD bet of the week. Also saw +190 | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Pat Freiermuth anytime TD (CIN@PIT)Loss -1.00Seeing +375, fine at +350. Lower end used | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | Seeing +375, fine at +350. Lower end used | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Deshaun Watson anytime TD (CAR@CLE)Loss -1.00 | +310 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Darren Waller anytime TD (CAR@CLE)Loss -1.00 | +450 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Emeka Egbuka anytime TD (MIN@TB)Loss -1.00 | +240 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Josh Oliver anytime TD (MIN@TB)Loss -1.00 | +750 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Brock Bowers anytime TD (LV@NO)Win +2.20 | +220 | Win | +2.20 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Devaughn Vele anytime TD (LV@NO)Loss -1.00Quoted around +310, maybe +300. Lower end used | +300 | Loss | -1.00 | Quoted around +310, maybe +300. Lower end used | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Jalen Hurts anytime TD (PHI@CHI)Win +1.50MNF pick, around +150 | +150 | Win | +1.50 | MNF pick, around +150 | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Jalen Hurts anytime TDLoss -1.00LAR at PHI. His favorite TD bet of the week. QB rushing TD counts | +175 | Loss | -1.00 | LAR at PHI. His favorite TD bet of the week. QB rushing TD counts | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Davis Allen anytime TDLoss -1.00LAR at PHI. Quoted 10 to 1 and 11 to 1, lower used | +1000 | Loss | -1.00 | LAR at PHI. Quoted 10 to 1 and 11 to 1, lower used | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Drake Maye anytime TDLoss -1.00NE at BUF. QB rushing TD counts | +500 | Loss | -1.00 | NE at BUF. QB rushing TD counts | |
| 4 | Prop | Josh Allen 2+ TDsLoss -1.00NE at BUF. Two rushing or receiving touchdowns, passing TDs do not count | +600 | Loss | -1.00 | NE at BUF. Two rushing or receiving touchdowns, passing TDs do not count | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Ryan Flournoy anytime TDLoss -1.00DAL at HOU. Quoted about 4 to 1 then +360, lower used | +360 | Loss | -1.00 | DAL at HOU. Quoted about 4 to 1 then +360, lower used | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Xavier Hutchinson anytime TDLoss -1.00DAL at HOU | +380 | Loss | -1.00 | DAL at HOU | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Luke Farrell anytime TDLoss -1.00DEN at SF | +1100 | Loss | -1.00 | DEN at SF | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Courtland Sutton anytime TDLoss -1.00DEN at SF. Quoted +230 and +240, lower used | +230 | Loss | -1.00 | DEN at SF. Quoted +230 and +240, lower used | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Jameson Williams anytime TDLoss -1.00DET at CAR, SNF | +200 | Loss | -1.00 | DET at CAR, SNF | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Kyle Pitts anytime TDLoss -1.00ATL at NO, MNF | +450 | Loss | -1.00 | ATL at NO, MNF | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Tony Pollard anytime TDLoss -1.00HOU at TEN. Named play. Quoted as around +250 | +250 | Loss | -1.00 | HOU at TEN. Named play. Quoted as around +250 | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Brevin Jordan anytime TDLoss -1.00HOU at TEN. Named play, 25 to 1 longshot | +2500 | Loss | -1.00 | HOU at TEN. Named play, 25 to 1 longshot | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Justin Jefferson anytime TDWin +1.50MIN at NO. His favorite scorer of the week, named in the DraftKings parlay segment. No single price quoted. +150 is implied by the parlay price with Freiermuth +300 and Likely +245 | +150est. | Win | +1.50 | MIN at NO. His favorite scorer of the week, named in the DraftKings parlay segment. No single price quoted. +150 is implied by the parlay price with Freiermuth +300 and Likely +245 | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | KC Concepcion anytime TDLoss -1.00CLE at NYJ. Named play | +320 | Loss | -1.00 | CLE at NYJ. Named play | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Isaiah Williams anytime TDLoss -1.00CLE at NYJ. Named play. Quoted as around +450 | +450 | Loss | -1.00 | CLE at NYJ. Named play. Quoted as around +450 | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Luther Burden anytime TDLoss -1.00CHI at GB. Named play | +240 | Loss | -1.00 | CHI at GB. Named play | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Tucker Kraft anytime TDLoss -1.00CHI at GB. Named play. Quoted as around +250 | +250 | Loss | -1.00 | CHI at GB. Named play. Quoted as around +250 | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Marvin Harrison Jr. anytime TDVoid 0.00DET at ARI. Named play. Said +300 or better, then +350. Lower used | +300 | Void | 0.00 | DET at ARI. Named play. Said +300 or better, then +350. Lower used | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Isaac TeSlaa anytime TDLoss -1.00DET at ARI. Named play. Quoted +425 and +450, lower used | +425 | Loss | -1.00 | DET at ARI. Named play. Quoted +425 and +450, lower used | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Mark Andrews anytime TDLoss -1.00BAL at ATL, SNF. Named play. Quoted as around +260 | +260 | Loss | -1.00 | BAL at ATL, SNF. Named play. Quoted as around +260 | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Dalton Kincaid anytime TDLoss -1.00BUF at LAR, MNF. Named play. Quoted as around two to one | +200 | Loss | -1.00 | BUF at LAR, MNF. Named play. Quoted as around two to one | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Caleb Williams anytime TDLoss -1.00CHI at ATL. Named play, 3:52. Quoted around +350 to +360, lower used. Wants it at +300 or better. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | CHI at ATL. Named play, 3:52. Quoted around +350 to +360, lower used. Wants it at +300 or better. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Jahan Dotson anytime TDWin +4.00CHI at ATL. Named play, 4:36, if Penix plays. Name garbled as Jan Dodson, taken as the Falcons deep threat behind Drake London. Check before grading | +400 | Win | +4.00 | CHI at ATL. Named play, 4:36, if Penix plays. Name garbled as Jan Dodson, taken as the Falcons deep threat behind Drake London. Check before grading | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Efton Chism anytime TDLoss -1.00NYJ at NE. Named play, 10:39. Quoted around +350 | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | NYJ at NE. Named play, 10:39. Quoted around +350 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Laquon Treadwell anytime TDLoss -1.00TEN at IND. Named play, 20:29. Quoted around +550 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | TEN at IND. Named play, 20:29. Quoted around +550 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Elic Ayomanor anytime TDLoss -1.00TEN at IND. Named play, 21:41. Quoted around +550 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | TEN at IND. Named play, 21:41. Quoted around +550 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Travis Kelce anytime TDLoss -1.00LAC at KC. Named play, 28:15. Quoted around +190 | +190 | Loss | -1.00 | LAC at KC. Named play, 28:15. Quoted around +190 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Omarion Hampton anytime TDLoss -1.00LAC at KC. Named play, 29:16. Quoted +280 then around +270 to +280, lower used | +270 | Loss | -1.00 | LAC at KC. Named play, 29:16. Quoted +280 then around +270 to +280, lower used | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Jake Ferguson anytime TDLoss -1.00DAL at GB, SNF. Named play, 30:22. No price quoted. +290 implied by the 21 to 1 SNF parlay with Golden +145 and Watson +130 | +290est. | Loss | -1.00 | DAL at GB, SNF. Named play, 30:22. No price quoted. +290 implied by the 21 to 1 SNF parlay with Golden +145 and Watson +130 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Jacory Croskey-Merritt anytime TDVoid 0.00WAS at SF, MNF. Named play, 32:31. Quoted around +180, later +185, lower used. Void: Croskey-Merritt ruled out (groin), no stats in the footballdb or CBS box score | +180 | Void | 0.00 | WAS at SF, MNF. Named play, 32:31. Quoted around +180, later +185, lower used. Void: Croskey-Merritt ruled out (groin), no stats in the footballdb or CBS box score | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Isaiah Likely anytime TD (favorite of the week)Win +2.25NO at NYG. Gallant's favorite TD of the week, 36:52. No price restated, +225 from Koerner's quote earlier in the show | +225est. | Win | +2.25 | NO at NYG. Gallant's favorite TD of the week, 36:52. No price restated, +225 from Koerner's quote earlier in the show | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Drake London anytime TDWin +1.40SF at ATL. Named play, 6:58. Quoted around +140, makes it about +110 | +140 | Win | +1.40 | SF at ATL. Named play, 6:58. Quoted around +140, makes it about +110 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Jordan Watkins anytime TDLoss -1.00SF at ATL. Named play, 7:46. Quoted six to one | +600 | Loss | -1.00 | SF at ATL. Named play, 7:46. Quoted six to one | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Tee Higgins anytime TDWin +1.50CIN at BAL. Named play, 13:54. Quoted around +160, takes him if he can get +150, worse number used. Also his favorite TD of the week at 38:10 | +150 | Win | +1.50 | CIN at BAL. Named play, 13:54. Quoted around +160, takes him if he can get +150, worse number used. Also his favorite TD of the week at 38:10 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Mark Andrews anytime TDLoss -1.00CIN at BAL. Named play, 14:56. Quoted around +240 | +240 | Loss | -1.00 | CIN at BAL. Named play, 14:56. Quoted around +240 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Michael Wilson anytime TDLoss -1.00DEN at ARI. Named play, 23:43. Quoted around +250, taken over Trey McBride | +250 | Loss | -1.00 | DEN at ARI. Named play, 23:43. Quoted around +250, taken over Trey McBride | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | RJ Harvey anytime TDWin +2.60DEN at ARI. Named play, 24:45 | +260 | Win | +2.60 | DEN at ARI. Named play, 24:45 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Patrick Mahomes anytime TDLoss -1.00KC at SEA, SNF. Named play, 31:15. Six to one at DraftKings. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | +600 | Loss | -1.00 | KC at SEA, SNF. Named play, 31:15. Six to one at DraftKings. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | George Pickens anytime TDWin +1.60DAL at PHI, MNF. Named play, 34:10. Quoted around +160 | +160 | Win | +1.60 | DAL at PHI, MNF. Named play, 34:10. Quoted around +160 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Jeremiyah Love (ARI) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Expected back from injury, leads ARI in red zone carries. Said if he plays he gets a full complement of carries. 5:10 | +145 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Expected back from injury, leads ARI in red zone carries. Said if he plays he gets a full complement of carries. 5:10 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | George Pickens (DAL) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Pivot off CeeDee Lamb's chalk price, red zone target in five straight. 5:58 | +120 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Pivot off CeeDee Lamb's chalk price, red zone target in five straight. 5:58 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Laquon Treadwell (IND) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Called six to one in the segment and plus 550 in the summary, saved at the worse number. 14:16 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Called six to one in the segment and plus 550 in the summary, saved at the worse number. 14:16 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Trevor Lawrence (JAX) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. QB rushing TD only counts. Likes it anything over +310. 15:33 | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. QB rushing TD only counts. Likes it anything over +310. 15:33 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) anytime TDLoss -1.00Already bet rule. "So again I'm on Amon-Ra St. Brown at plus 130". Separate host, so its own play. 24:16 | +130 | Loss | -1.00 | Already bet rule. "So again I'm on Amon-Ra St. Brown at plus 130". Separate host, so its own play. 24:16 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) anytime TDWin +1.10Named play. Saw +110 at one book and +105 at another, saved at the price he said he was taking. 24:40 | +110 | Win | +1.10 | Named play. Saw +110 at one book and +105 at another, saved at the price he said he was taking. 24:40 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Elic Ayomanor (TEN) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Saw +700 earlier in the day, loves anything over +600. 25:57 | +650 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Saw +700 earlier in the day, loves anything over +600. 25:57 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Courtland Sutton (DEN) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Quoted +260 in the segment and +250 in the summary, saved at the worse number. 34:29 | +250 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Quoted +260 in the segment and +250 in the summary, saved at the worse number. 34:29 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Xavier Worthy (KC) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Leads KC in red zone and deep targets. 36:16 | +270 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Leads KC in red zone and deep targets. 36:16 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Dallas Goedert (PHI) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play, SNF parlay leg. No price quoted on air. Price estimated, Week 7 comparable was +210. 37:39 | +250est. | Loss | -1.00 | Named play, SNF parlay leg. No price quoted on air. Price estimated, Week 7 comparable was +210. 37:39 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | DJ Moore (BUF) anytime TDWin +3.00Named play, favorite of the week and a leg of the DraftKings parlay. No price quoted on air, price estimated. Healthy off the bye. 45:10 | +300est. | Win | +3.00 | Named play, favorite of the week and a leg of the DraftKings parlay. No price quoted on air, price estimated. Healthy off the bye. 45:10 |