PodPicksTrackerKoerner
Picks made on Anytime TD Show, graded at 1 unit each.
Joint picks are not counted here. They are listed under the show, against the label the show uses.
Showing season to date
Record
12-60
0 pushes, 1 void
Units
-24.40
72 graded picks
ROI
-34%
units per graded pick
CLV plus / minus
0 / 0
where a closing line is on record
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Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Leaning below the price
Season to date
- Units
- -24.4072 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -30.00 to +30.00 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- -1.34 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 22.7% needed · 16.7% hit
Over 72 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -30.00 and +30.00 units nine times in ten. Koerner is at -24.40, which is near the edge of that range, so this is suggestive, but it is not settled.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- -24.40
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- -49.08
- 72 graded picks
- Price edge
- +24.68
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- none
- every price was quoted on air
Koerner hit 12 of 73 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -49.08 units, so +24.68 of the total came from the prices.
Where the units come from
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Host | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KoernerProp +3.00 (1-2)Anytime TD -31.35 (10-58)Parlay/Teaser +3.95 (1-0) | +3.001-2 | -31.3510-58 | +3.951-0 |
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date.
- Week 1: -6.65 units, season to date -6.65
- Week 2: -2.00 units, season to date -8.65
- Week 3: -1.95 units, season to date -10.60
- Week 4: -5.75 units, season to date -16.35
- Week 5: -0.40 units, season to date -16.75
- Week 6: -4.75 units, season to date -21.50
- Week 7: -0.85 units, season to date -22.35
- Week 8: -2.05 units, season to date -24.40
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air.
| Wk | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anytime TD | Omar Cooper Jr.Loss -1.00 | +1200 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Gunnar HelmLoss -1.00 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Kyle PittsLoss -1.00 | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Rico DowdleLoss -1.00 | +120 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Ravens rookie TELoss -1.00 | +1900 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Tyler WarrenWin +2.35 | +235 | Win | +2.35 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Marvin Harrison Jr.Loss -1.00 | +240 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Oronde Gadsden IILoss -1.00 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | George PickensLoss -1.00 | +150 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Odell Beckham Jr.Loss -1.00 | +750 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Prop | Chuba Hubbard first TDWin +5.00 | +500 | Win | +5.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Kyle PittsLoss -1.00 | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Juwan JohnsonLoss -1.00 | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Mark AndrewsLoss -1.00 | +125 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Jack BechLoss -1.00 | +800 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Ladd McConkeyLoss -1.00 | +175 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Caleb DouglasLoss -1.00 | +500 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Deebo SamuelLoss -1.00 | +215 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Elic Ayomanor anytime TD (TEN@NYG)Loss -1.00 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Malachi Fields anytime TD (TEN@NYG)Loss -1.00 | +500 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | AJ Barner anytime TD (SEA@WAS)Loss -1.00 | +275 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Rachaad White anytime TD (SEA@WAS)Win +3.10 | +310 | Win | +3.10 | ||
| 3 | Prop | First TD: David Montgomery (HOU@IND)Loss -1.00First TD scorer of the game, not anytime | +500 | Loss | -1.00 | First TD scorer of the game, not anytime | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Tyler Warren anytime TD (HOU@IND)Loss -1.00 | +210 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Trey McBride anytime TD (ARI@SF)Loss -1.00 | +205 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Luke Farrell anytime TD (ARI@SF)Loss -1.00 | +900 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Blake Corum anytime TD (LAR@DEN)Loss -1.00SNF pick | +260 | Loss | -1.00 | SNF pick | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Luther Burden anytime TD (PHI@CHI)Win +2.95MNF pick | +295 | Win | +2.95 | MNF pick | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Jalon Daniels anytime TDLoss -1.00GB at TB. First start. QB rushing TD counts | +380 | Loss | -1.00 | GB at TB. First start. QB rushing TD counts | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | J. Michael Sturdivant anytime TDLoss -1.00GB at TB. Longshot | +1400 | Loss | -1.00 | GB at TB. Longshot | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Jakobi Meyers anytime TDLoss -1.00JAX at CIN | +255 | Loss | -1.00 | JAX at CIN | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Dante Myers (Bengals WR3) anytime TDLoss -1.00JAX at CIN. Name as the transcript has it, not verified. Bengals third receiver | +450 | Loss | -1.00 | JAX at CIN. Name as the transcript has it, not verified. Bengals third receiver | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Michael Wilson anytime TDLoss -1.00ARI at NYG | +220 | Loss | -1.00 | ARI at NYG | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Najee Harris anytime TDLoss -1.00ARI at NYG | +330 | Loss | -1.00 | ARI at NYG | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Tre Harris anytime TDLoss -1.00LAC at SEA. Locked in now, price may drop if Ladd McConkey is out | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | LAC at SEA. Locked in now, price may drop if Ladd McConkey is out | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Emanuel Wilson anytime TDWin +2.25LAC at SEA | +225 | Win | +2.25 | LAC at SEA | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Darren Waller anytime TDLoss -1.00DET at CAR, SNF | +260 | Loss | -1.00 | DET at CAR, SNF | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Noah Fant anytime TDVoid 0.00ATL at NO, MNF. Void, Fant was inactive | +500 | Void | 0.00 | ATL at NO, MNF. Void, Fant was inactive | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Brenton Strange anytime TDLoss -1.00PHI vs JAX, London. Named play | +290 | Loss | -1.00 | PHI vs JAX, London. Named play | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Darius Cooper anytime TDWin +4.60PHI vs JAX, London. Named play | +460 | Win | +4.60 | PHI vs JAX, London. Named play | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Devaughn Vele anytime TDLoss -1.00MIN at NO. Named play | +330 | Loss | -1.00 | MIN at NO. Named play | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Kyler Murray anytime TDLoss -1.00MIN at NO. Named play. QB rushing TD counts | +475 | Loss | -1.00 | MIN at NO. Named play. QB rushing TD counts | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Laquon Treadwell anytime TDLoss -1.00IND at PIT. Named play. He would downgrade it if Darius Slayton is active | +600 | Loss | -1.00 | IND at PIT. Named play. He would downgrade it if Darius Slayton is active | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Pat Freiermuth anytime TDWin +3.00IND at PIT. Named play and his favorite of the week | +300 | Win | +3.00 | IND at PIT. Named play and his favorite of the week | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Troy Franklin anytime TDLoss -1.00DEN at LAC. Named play, contingent on Pat Bryant being out. Bryant was doubtful. Flip to contingent_not_triggered if Bryant plays | +650 | Loss | -1.00 | DEN at LAC. Named play, contingent on Pat Bryant being out. Bryant was doubtful. Flip to contingent_not_triggered if Bryant plays | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Marquez Valdes-Scantling anytime TDLoss -1.00DEN at LAC. Named play, 12 to 1 longshot | +1200 | Loss | -1.00 | DEN at LAC. Named play, 12 to 1 longshot | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Brian Robinson Jr. anytime TDLoss -1.00BAL at ATL, SNF. Named play. Says he does not love the price | +240 | Loss | -1.00 | BAL at ATL, SNF. Named play. Says he does not love the price | |
| 5 | Prop | Kyren Williams first TD scorerLoss -1.00BUF at LAR, MNF. Named play. First touchdown of the game, not anytime | +500 | Loss | -1.00 | BUF at LAR, MNF. Named play. First touchdown of the game, not anytime | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Devontez Walker anytime TDLoss -1.00BAL at CLE. Named play, 5:48. Projects him closer to +600 | +800 | Loss | -1.00 | BAL at CLE. Named play, 5:48. Projects him closer to +600 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Devaughn Vele anytime TDLoss -1.00NO at NYG. Named play, 12:52 | +270 | Loss | -1.00 | NO at NYG. Named play, 12:52 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Isaiah Likely anytime TDWin +2.25NO at NYG. Named play, 13:51 | +225 | Win | +2.25 | NO at NYG. Named play, 13:51 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Jalen Brooks anytime TDLoss -1.00ARI at LAR. Named play, 22:47 | +650 | Loss | -1.00 | ARI at LAR. Named play, 22:47 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Tyler Higbee anytime TDLoss -1.00ARI at LAR. Named play, 24:19 | +260 | Loss | -1.00 | ARI at LAR. Named play, 24:19 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Christian Watson anytime TDLoss -1.00DAL at GB, SNF. Named play, 31:32 | +130 | Loss | -1.00 | DAL at GB, SNF. Named play, 31:32 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Antonio Williams anytime TDLoss -1.00WAS at SF, MNF. Named play, 34:03. Loss: 3 catches, 50 yards, no TD (footballdb and CBS box scores) | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | WAS at SF, MNF. Named play, 34:03. Loss: 3 catches, 50 yards, no TD (footballdb and CBS box scores) | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Efton Chism anytime TD (favorite of the week)Loss -1.00NYJ at NE. Koerner's favorite TD of the week, 35:23, lock it in at +360. Gallant's Chism +350 is a separate host's play | +360 | Loss | -1.00 | NYJ at NE. Koerner's favorite TD of the week, 35:23, lock it in at +360. Gallant's Chism +350 is a separate host's play | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Pat Freiermuth anytime TDLoss -1.00PIT at NO, Paris. Named play, 1:24. Also his favorite TD of the week at 37:14 | +280 | Loss | -1.00 | PIT at NO, Paris. Named play, 1:24. Also his favorite TD of the week at 37:14 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Tyler Shough anytime TDLoss -1.00PIT at NO, Paris. Named play, 2:05. Garbled as Shuck. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | +430 | Loss | -1.00 | PIT at NO, Paris. Named play, 2:05. Garbled as Shuck. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Bucky Irving anytime TDWin +1.20TB at CAR. Named play, 8:42 | +120 | Win | +1.20 | TB at CAR. Named play, 8:42 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | John Metchie III anytime TDLoss -1.00TB at CAR. Named play, 9:47. Garbled as John Mechy the third. Quoted 11 to 1, makes it about +800 | +1100 | Loss | -1.00 | TB at CAR. Named play, 9:47. Garbled as John Mechy the third. Quoted 11 to 1, makes it about +800 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Chris Bell anytime TDLoss -1.00MIA at NYJ. Named play, 17:40 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | MIA at NYJ. Named play, 17:40 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Omar Cooper Jr. anytime TDWin +3.80MIA at NYJ. Named play, 18:54. Said he would be willing to wait on AD Mitchell news, price goes up if Mitchell sits | +380 | Win | +3.80 | MIA at NYJ. Named play, 18:54. Said he would be willing to wait on AD Mitchell news, price goes up if Mitchell sits | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Matthew Golden anytime TDLoss -1.00GB at DET. Named play, 26:05 | +155 | Loss | -1.00 | GB at DET. Named play, 26:05 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Isaac TeSlaa anytime TDLoss -1.00GB at DET. Named play, 27:05. Garbled as Isaac to Slah | +425 | Loss | -1.00 | GB at DET. Named play, 27:05. Garbled as Isaac to Slah | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Cooper Kupp anytime TDLoss -1.00KC at SEA, SNF. Named play, 32:58 | +425 | Loss | -1.00 | KC at SEA, SNF. Named play, 32:58 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Saquon Barkley anytime TDWin +1.15DAL at PHI, MNF. Named play, 36:00 | +115 | Win | +1.15 | DAL at PHI, MNF. Named play, 36:00 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Chris Godwin (TB) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Buy low with zero TDs, boost from Mayfield back. 7:26 | +310 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Buy low with zero TDs, boost from Mayfield back. 7:26 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. QB rushing TD only counts. Three straight games with a scramble. 8:56 | +1300 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. QB rushing TD only counts. Three straight games with a scramble. 8:56 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Zay Flowers (BAL) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Quoted plus 145 to plus 155, saved at the worse number. 16:42 | +145 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Quoted plus 145 to plus 155, saved at the worse number. 16:42 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Ty Johnson (BUF) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Used as a receiver, unlocked in trailing scripts. 17:38 | +650 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Used as a receiver, unlocked in trailing scripts. 17:38 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Kimani Vidal (LAC) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Most efficient back in a three way committee. 28:05 | +500 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Most efficient back in a three way committee. 28:05 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Dyami Brown (WAS) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play, SNF parlay leg. Quoted +750 to +800, saved at the worse number. McLaurin out. 39:23 | +750 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play, SNF parlay leg. Quoted +750 to +800, saved at the worse number. McLaurin out. 39:23 | |
| 8 | Parlay/Teaser | Rams double: Kyren Williams anytime TD and Blake Corum anytime TDWin +3.95Two leg parlay, both Rams backs to score. Koerner's own ticket, not joint. Says it has already happened two or three times this year and in four of seven games last year. 28:59 | +395 | Win | +3.95 | Two leg parlay, both Rams backs to score. Koerner's own ticket, not joint. Says it has already happened two or three times this year and in four of seven games last year. 28:59 |