PodPicksTrackerNeiffer
Picks made on Anytime TD Show, graded at 1 unit each.
Joint picks are not counted here. They are listed under the show, against the label the show uses.
Showing season to date
Record
21-57
0 pushes, 3 voids
Units
+0.58
78 graded picks
ROI
+1%
units per graded pick
CLV plus / minus
0 / 0
where a closing line is on record
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Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Within noise
Season to date
- Units
- +0.5878 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -27.03 to +27.03 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- +0.04 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 25.6% needed · 26.9% hit
Over 78 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -27.03 and +27.03 units nine times in ten. Neiffer is at +0.58, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- +0.58
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- -37.89
- 78 graded picks
- Price edge
- +38.47
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- none
- every price was quoted on air
Neiffer hit 21 of 80 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -37.89 units, so +38.47 of the total came from the prices.
Where the units come from
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Host | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NeifferAnytime TD +0.58 (21-57) | +0.5821-57 |
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date.
- Week 1: +9.78 units, season to date +9.78
- Week 2: -4.20 units, season to date +5.58
- Week 3: -5.00 units, season to date +0.58
- Week 4: +1.00 units, season to date +1.58
- Week 5: +8.00 units, season to date +9.58
- Week 6: -3.45 units, season to date +6.13
- Week 7: -4.80 units, season to date +1.33
- Week 8: -0.75 units, season to date +0.58
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air.
| Wk | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anytime TD | Ja'Marr ChaseLoss -1.00 | -116 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Emeka EgbukaLoss -1.00 | +210 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Caleb WilliamsWin +5.00 | +500 | Win | +5.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Jalen CokerWin +3.00 | +300 | Win | +3.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | DJ MooreWin +2.65 | +265 | Win | +2.65 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Nico CollinsWin +1.78 | +178 | Win | +1.78 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Dallas GoedertWin +2.35 | +235 | Win | +2.35 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Terry McLaurinLoss -1.00 | +325 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Bo NixLoss -1.00 | +600 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Anytime TD | Xavier WorthyLoss -1.00 | +320 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Deshaun WatsonLoss -1.00 | +600 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Baker MayfieldLoss -1.00 | +550 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Elic AyomanorLoss -1.00 | +1300 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Dallas GoedertLoss -1.00 | +235 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Caleb WilliamsLoss -1.00 | +340 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Justin JeffersonLoss -1.00 | +180 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Courtland SuttonLoss -1.00 | +230 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Jakobi MeyersLoss -1.00 | +320 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Trey McBrideWin +2.45 | +245 | Win | +2.45 | ||
| 2 | Anytime TD | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWin +1.35 | +135 | Win | +1.35 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Tyquan Thornton anytime TD (KC@MIA)Loss -1.00 | +475 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Malik Washington anytime TD (KC@MIA)Loss -1.00 | +330 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Dalton Kincaid anytime TD (LAC@BUF)Loss -1.00Quoted +190 to +230, lower end used | +190 | Loss | -1.00 | Quoted +190 to +230, lower end used | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Oronde Gadsden anytime TD (LAC@BUF)Loss -1.00Quoted +295 to +300 | +295 | Loss | -1.00 | Quoted +295 to +300 | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | AD Mitchell anytime TD (NYJ@DET)Void 0.00Adonai Mitchell inactive (finger), voided | +330 | Void | 0.00 | Adonai Mitchell inactive (finger), voided | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Isaac TeSlaa anytime TD (NYJ@DET)Loss -1.00 | +475 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Jake Ferguson anytime TD (BAL@DAL)Win +3.00Quoted +300 to +325, lower end used | +300 | Win | +3.00 | Quoted +300 to +325, lower end used | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Lamar Jackson anytime TD (BAL@DAL)Loss -1.00 | +230 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 3 | Anytime TD | Terrance Ferguson anytime TD (LAR@DEN)Loss -1.00SNF pick | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | SNF pick | |
| 3 | Anytime TD | Rome Odunze anytime TD (PHI@CHI)Loss -1.00MNF pick | +400 | Loss | -1.00 | MNF pick | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Daniel Jones anytime TDWin +4.00IND vs WAS, London. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | +400 | Win | +4.00 | IND vs WAS, London. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Terry McLaurin anytime TDVoid 0.00IND vs WAS. McLaurin inactive (hamstring), graded void | +250 | Void | 0.00 | IND vs WAS. McLaurin inactive (hamstring), graded void | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Kalif Raymond anytime TDLoss -1.00NYJ at CHI | +370 | Loss | -1.00 | NYJ at CHI | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Geno Smith anytime TDLoss -1.00NYJ at CHI. QB rushing TD counts | +900 | Loss | -1.00 | NYJ at CHI. QB rushing TD counts | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Tony Pollard anytime TDWin +2.00TEN at BAL. Quoted around +205 and +200, lower used | +200 | Win | +2.00 | TEN at BAL. Quoted around +205 and +200, lower used | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Lamar Jackson anytime TDLoss -1.00TEN at BAL. QB rushing TD counts | +250 | Loss | -1.00 | TEN at BAL. QB rushing TD counts | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Malik Washington anytime TDLoss -1.00MIA at MIN | +470 | Loss | -1.00 | MIA at MIN | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Kyler Murray anytime TDLoss -1.00MIA at MIN. QB rushing TD counts | +370 | Loss | -1.00 | MIA at MIN. QB rushing TD counts | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Xavier Worthy anytime TDLoss -1.00KC at LV | +240 | Loss | -1.00 | KC at LV | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Brock Bowers anytime TDWin +2.00KC at LV | +200 | Win | +2.00 | KC at LV | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Jalen Coker anytime TDVoid 0.00DET at CAR, SNF. Coker ruled out before kickoff, graded void | +200 | Void | 0.00 | DET at CAR, SNF. Coker ruled out before kickoff, graded void | |
| 4 | Anytime TD | Juwan Johnson anytime TDLoss -1.00ATL at NO, MNF | +230 | Loss | -1.00 | ATL at NO, MNF | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Isaiah Likely anytime TDWin +2.45NYG at WAS. Named play and his favorite of the week. Questionable, he expects him to play | +245 | Win | +2.45 | NYG at WAS. Named play and his favorite of the week. Questionable, he expects him to play | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Jayden Daniels anytime TDWin +2.50NYG at WAS. Named play. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | +250 | Win | +2.50 | NYG at WAS. Named play. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Greg Dulcich anytime TDLoss -1.00CIN at MIA. Named play. Name garbled in the transcript, taken as the Dolphins lead tight end from context. Check before grading | +500 | Loss | -1.00 | CIN at MIA. Named play. Name garbled in the transcript, taken as the Dolphins lead tight end from context. Check before grading | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Mitchell Tinsley anytime TDLoss -1.00CIN at MIA. Named play. Said listeners can wait on Chase and Higgins news but he is rolling with it now | +310 | Loss | -1.00 | CIN at MIA. Named play. Said listeners can wait on Chase and Higgins news but he is rolling with it now | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Brock Bowers anytime TDWin +1.45LV at NE. Named play. Quoted as around +145 | +145 | Win | +1.45 | LV at NE. Named play. Quoted as around +145 | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Drake Maye anytime TDWin +4.50LV at NE. Named play. QB rushing TD counts | +450 | Win | +4.50 | LV at NE. Named play. QB rushing TD counts | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | AJ Barner anytime TDLoss -1.00SF at SEA. Named play | +310 | Loss | -1.00 | SF at SEA. Named play | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Mike Evans anytime TDWin +2.10SF at SEA. Named play if he ends up playing. Void if inactive | +210 | Win | +2.10 | SF at SEA. Named play if he ends up playing. Void if inactive | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Austin Hooper anytime TDLoss -1.00BAL at ATL, SNF. Named play | +900 | Loss | -1.00 | BAL at ATL, SNF. Named play | |
| 5 | Anytime TD | Khalil Shakir anytime TDLoss -1.00BUF at LAR, MNF. Named play | +270 | Loss | -1.00 | BUF at LAR, MNF. Named play | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Parker Washington anytime TDLoss -1.00HOU vs JAX, London. Named play, 2:19 | +185 | Loss | -1.00 | HOU vs JAX, London. Named play, 2:19 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Nico Collins anytime TDLoss -1.00HOU vs JAX, London. Named play, 2:41 | +175 | Loss | -1.00 | HOU vs JAX, London. Named play, 2:41 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Pat Freiermuth anytime TDLoss -1.00PIT at TB. Named play, 8:08 | +350 | Loss | -1.00 | PIT at TB. Named play, 8:08 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Emeka Egbuka anytime TDWin +3.10PIT at TB. Named play, 8:56. Garbled as Ibuka | +310 | Win | +3.10 | PIT at TB. Named play, 8:56. Garbled as Ibuka | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Dallas Goedert anytime TDLoss -1.00CAR at PHI. Named play, 18:01. Also his favorite TD of the week at 36:16 | +295 | Loss | -1.00 | CAR at PHI. Named play, 18:01. Also his favorite TD of the week at 36:16 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Jalen Coker anytime TDLoss -1.00CAR at PHI. Named play, 19:09. Would bet it down to +250 | +320 | Loss | -1.00 | CAR at PHI. Named play, 19:09. Would bet it down to +250 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Dawson Knox anytime TDLoss -1.00BUF at LV. Named play, 25:34 | +600 | Loss | -1.00 | BUF at LV. Named play, 25:34 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Michael Mayer anytime TDLoss -1.00BUF at LV. Named play, 26:22 | +320 | Loss | -1.00 | BUF at LV. Named play, 26:22 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Matthew Golden anytime TDWin +1.45DAL at GB, SNF. Named play, 30:51 | +145 | Win | +1.45 | DAL at GB, SNF. Named play, 30:51 | |
| 6 | Anytime TD | Brandin Cooks anytime TDLoss -1.00WAS at SF, MNF. Named play, 33:04. Loss: 1 catch, 13 yards, no TD (footballdb and CBS box scores) | +245 | Loss | -1.00 | WAS at SF, MNF. Named play, 33:04. Loss: 1 catch, 13 yards, no TD (footballdb and CBS box scores) | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Isaiah Likely anytime TDLoss -1.00NYG at HOU. Named play, 4:02. Also his favorite TD of the week at 37:45 | +270 | Loss | -1.00 | NYG at HOU. Named play, 4:02. Also his favorite TD of the week at 37:45 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Tank Dell anytime TDLoss -1.00NYG at HOU. Named play, 5:21. First game back, snap count unknown | +850 | Loss | -1.00 | NYG at HOU. Named play, 5:21. First game back, snap count unknown | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Carnell Tate anytime TDLoss -1.00CLE at TEN. Named play, 11:24 | +330 | Loss | -1.00 | CLE at TEN. Named play, 11:24 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Deshaun Watson anytime TDWin +4.20CLE at TEN, Browns side. Named play, 12:07. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | +420 | Win | +4.20 | CLE at TEN, Browns side. Named play, 12:07. QB rushing TD counts, passing TD does not | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Justin Jefferson anytime TDLoss -1.00IND at MIN. Named play, 21:16 | +180 | Loss | -1.00 | IND at MIN. Named play, 21:16 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Laquon Treadwell anytime TDLoss -1.00IND at MIN, Colts side. Named play, 21:55 | +700 | Loss | -1.00 | IND at MIN, Colts side. Named play, 21:55 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Colby Parkinson anytime TDLoss -1.00LAR at LV. Named play, 28:41. Garbled as Kobe Parkinson | +400 | Loss | -1.00 | LAR at LV. Named play, 28:41. Garbled as Kobe Parkinson | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Brock Bowers anytime TDLoss -1.00LAR at LV. Named play, 29:45. Questionable, assumes he plays | +140 | Loss | -1.00 | LAR at LV. Named play, 29:45. Questionable, assumes he plays | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | AJ Barner anytime TDLoss -1.00KC at SEA, SNF. Named play, 31:49 | +270 | Loss | -1.00 | KC at SEA, SNF. Named play, 31:49 | |
| 7 | Anytime TD | Dallas Goedert anytime TDLoss -1.00DAL at PHI, MNF. Named play, 34:44 | +210 | Loss | -1.00 | DAL at PHI, MNF. Named play, 34:44 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Mason Taylor (NYJ) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Raiders allowed eight TDs to tight ends, Taylor's red zone role growing. 1:46 | +425 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Raiders allowed eight TDs to tight ends, Taylor's red zone role growing. 1:46 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Tre Tucker (LV) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Six red zone targets in three weeks, three TDs in two games. "I'm rolling with it". 2:41 | +265 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Six red zone targets in three weeks, three TDs in two games. "I'm rolling with it". 2:41 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Darnell Washington (PIT) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Six red zone targets since week three, PIT leads league in red zone pass rate. 10:48 | +320 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Six red zone targets since week three, PIT leads league in red zone pass rate. 10:48 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | KC Concepcion (CLE) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Name garbled in captions as Casey Conception, described as a Browns receiver with no career TD off a 129 yard game. Verify the player before grading. Makes it under +300. 12:02 | +340 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Name garbled in captions as Casey Conception, described as a Browns receiver with no career TD off a 129 yard game. Verify the player before grading. Makes it under +300. 12:02 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | TJ Hockenson (MIN) anytime TDWin +2.85Named play. Lions worst in the league versus tight ends. 21:47 | +285 | Win | +2.85 | Named play. Lions worst in the league versus tight ends. 21:47 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Leads the league in red zone targets. 22:39 | +130 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Leads the league in red zone targets. 22:39 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Eli Rairdon (NE) anytime TDLoss -1.00Named play. Name garbled as Eli Ren and Renan, spelling taken from another show's description of the same player this week. 32:02 | +450 | Loss | -1.00 | Named play. Name garbled as Eli Ren and Renan, spelling taken from another show's description of the same player this week. 32:02 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Malik Washington (MIA) anytime TDWin +3.40Named play. Main receiver on the offense, 80% of snaps, first TD of the year. 33:24 | +340 | Win | +3.40 | Named play. Main receiver on the offense, 80% of snaps, first TD of the year. 33:24 | |
| 8 | Anytime TD | Eagles receiver, captions render the name as Mai Lemon, anytime TDLoss -1.00Graded as Makai Lemon (PHI), 6 catches, no TD. | +320 | Loss | -1.00 | Graded as Makai Lemon (PHI), 6 catches, no TD. |