Ross
Picks made on Even Money, graded at 1 unit each.
Joint picks are not counted here. They are listed under the show, against the label the show uses.
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Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Within noise
Season to date
- Units
- -0.3050 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -10.69 to +10.71 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- -0.05 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 54.2% needed · 54.0% hit
Over 50 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -10.69 and +10.71 units nine times in ten. Ross is at -0.30, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- -0.30
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- +1.57
- 50 graded picks
- Price edge
- -1.87
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- 16 plays, +1.19 units
- excluding them: -1.49
Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth +1.57 units, so the prices cost 1.87 units.
Where the units come from
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Host | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RossSide -0.90 (10-10)Total -1.00 (0-1)Parlay/Teaser +1.60 (17-12) | -0.9010-10 | -1.000-1 | +1.6017-12 |
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date.
- Week 1: -2.49 units, season to date -2.49
- Week 2: -2.18 units, season to date -4.67
- Week 3: +6.51 units, season to date +1.84
- Week 4: +1.40 units, season to date +3.24
- Week 5: -6.20 units, season to date -2.96
- Week 6: +4.02 units, season to date +1.06
- Week 7: +0.73 units, season to date +1.79
- Week 8: -2.09 units, season to date -0.30
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air.
| Wk | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Side | 49ers +3.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Side | Buccaneers +3.5Loss -1.00↓ -0.5 (moved to +4) | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | -0.5 (moved to +4) | |
| 1 | Total | Commanders-Eagles under 44.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Side | Dolphins +3.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Side | Broncos +3Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars -2.5 + Texans +7.5Win +0.80 | -125 | Win | +0.80 | ||
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars -2.5 + Jets +7.5Win +0.80 | -125 | Win | +0.80 | ||
| 1 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars -2.5 + Packers +7.5Loss -1.00 | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 2 | Side | Vikings +5.5Win +0.91↑ DK close +4.5 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +4.5 | |
| 2 | Side | Raiders +7Win +0.91↑ DK close +6.5 | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +6.5 | |
| 2 | Side | Commanders +3.5Loss -1.00↓ DK close +4.5 - 2 units. Fezzik only leaned Dallas | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK close +4.5 | 2 units. Fezzik only leaned Dallas |
| 2 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Bucs -2.5 + Jaguars +8.5Loss -1.00Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 2 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Ravens -2.5 + Jaguars +8.5Loss -1.00Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 2 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Falcons +7.5 + Jaguars +8.5Loss -1.00Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 3 | Side | Steelers +3.5Win +0.91→ DK close +3.5 - 1 unit | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK close +3.5 | 1 unit |
| 3 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Browns +8.5 + Colts +8.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 3 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Browns +8.5 + 49ers -2.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 3 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Browns +8.5 + Bucs +7.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 3 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Browns +8.5 + Broncos +8.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 3 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Colts +8.5 + 49ers -2.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 3 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Colts +8.5 + Bucs +7.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 3 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Colts +8.5 + Broncos +8.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 4 | Side | Commanders +3.5Loss -1.00↓ DK close +5.5 - 1 unit | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK close +5.5 | 1 unit |
| 4 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Browns +8.5 + Cowboys +8.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 4 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars +8.5 + Cowboys +8.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 4 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Cowboys +8.5 + Giants +7.5Win +0.80Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Two-team round robin ticket, said as 2 units on air, graded 1 flat unit | |
| 5 | Side | Raiders +3.5Loss -1.00→ DK via VegasInsider close +3.5 - 2 units | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close +3.5 | 2 units |
| 5 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Cowboys -2.5, Saints +7.5Loss -1.00Round robin by twos, 2 units | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Round robin by twos, 2 units | |
| 5 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Cowboys -2.5, Bills +8.5Loss -1.00Round robin by twos, 2 units | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Round robin by twos, 2 units | |
| 5 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Browns +8.5, Saints +7.5Loss -1.00Round robin by twos, 2 units | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Round robin by twos, 2 units | |
| 5 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Browns +8.5, Bills +8.5Win +0.80Round robin by twos, 2 units | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Round robin by twos, 2 units | |
| 5 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Colts +8.5, Saints +7.5Loss -1.00Round robin by twos, 2 units | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Round robin by twos, 2 units | |
| 5 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Colts +8.5, Bills +8.5Loss -1.00Round robin by twos, 2 units | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Round robin by twos, 2 units | |
| 5 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Saints +7.5, Bills +8.5Loss -1.00Round robin by twos, 2 units | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Round robin by twos, 2 units | |
| 6 | Side | Browns +4.5Win +0.91↑ DK backfill (Statsniper + VegasInsider) close +3 - 2 units. Ross: two units on the Browns, rivalry always close (20:45). Fezzik passed. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK backfill (Statsniper + VegasInsider) close +3 | 2 units. Ross: two units on the Browns, rivalry always close (20:45). Fezzik passed. |
| 6 | Side | Cardinals +13.5Win +0.91→ DK backfill (Statsniper + SBR) close +13.5 - 2 units. Ross: doing it, Arizona two units, backdoor possible (22:35). Fezzik passed. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK backfill (Statsniper + SBR) close +13.5 | 2 units. Ross: doing it, Arizona two units, backdoor possible (22:35). Fezzik passed. |
| 6 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Broncos +8.5, Panthers +7.5Win +0.80Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | |
| 6 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Broncos +8.5, Saints +7.5Win +0.80Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | |
| 6 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Broncos +8.5, Chiefs -2.5Win +0.80Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | |
| 6 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Broncos +8.5, Cowboys +7.5Loss -1.00Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | |
| 6 | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Broncos +8.5, 49ers -1.5Win +0.80Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Round robin by twos, 1 unit each. Ross: Broncos up to 8.5 as a teaser leg (15:24), one unit each on teasers (24:25). Fezzik has no Broncos leg. | |
| 7 | Side | Saints +3.5 vs SteelersLoss -1.00↑ DK via VegasInsider close +3 - Tue BETS 15:31. Still going one unit on the Saints at 3.5. 1 unit stated. No price quoted. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close +3 | Tue BETS 15:31. Still going one unit on the Saints at 3.5. 1 unit stated. No price quoted. |
| 7 | Side | Bucs +3.5 at PanthersWin +0.91↑ DK via VegasInsider close +3 - Tue BETS 18:03. Bucs for two units plus three and a half. No price quoted. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close +3 | Tue BETS 18:03. Bucs for two units plus three and a half. No price quoted. |
| 7 | Side | Dolphins +4.5 at JetsWin +0.91↑ DK via VegasInsider close +3.5 - Tue BETS 21:19. I can do it, two units Dolphins. No price quoted. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close +3.5 | Tue BETS 21:19. I can do it, two units Dolphins. No price quoted. |
| 7 | Side | Falcons +3.5 vs 49ersWin +0.91↑ DK via VegasInsider close +2.5 - Tue BETS 22:08. Taking the Falcons two units at 3.5. No price quoted. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close +2.5 | Tue BETS 22:08. Taking the Falcons two units at 3.5. No price quoted. |
| 7 | Parlay/Teaser | 6 pt teaser: Titans +7.5, Chiefs +8.5Loss -1.00Tue BETS 20:41 and 24:51. Lone teaser of the week, two units. Two legs only, so one ticket at the show's -125. | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Tue BETS 20:41 and 24:51. Lone teaser of the week, two units. Two legs only, so one ticket at the show's -125. | |
| 8 | Side | Panthers +3.5 at PackersLoss -1.00→ DK via VegasInsider close +3.5 - Tue BETS 13:20, bet. Not me, two units Panthers, all over it at 3.5. 2u stated. No price quoted. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close +3.5 | Tue BETS 13:20, bet. Not me, two units Panthers, all over it at 3.5. 2u stated. No price quoted. |
| 8 | Side | Ravens +3.5 at BillsLoss -1.00↑ DK via VegasInsider close +3 - Tue BETS 14:57, bet. Ravens plus 3.5 for two units, expects a bounce back. 2u stated. No price quoted. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close +3 | Tue BETS 14:57, bet. Ravens plus 3.5 for two units, expects a bounce back. 2u stated. No price quoted. |
| 8 | Side | Titans +10 at BengalsWin +0.91↓ DK via VegasInsider close +13.5 - Tue BETS 16:27, bet. Takes Titans, trims from two units to one at +10. 1u stated. No price quoted. | -110est. | Win | +0.91 | DK via VegasInsider close +13.5 | Tue BETS 16:27, bet. Takes Titans, trims from two units to one at +10. 1u stated. No price quoted. |
| 8 | Side | Eagles +4.5 at CommandersLoss -1.00↓ DK via VegasInsider close +6 - Tue BETS 24:02, bet. One unit Eagles plus 4.5, tossup game. 1u stated. No price quoted. | -110est. | Loss | -1.00 | DK via VegasInsider close +6 | Tue BETS 24:02, bet. One unit Eagles plus 4.5, tossup game. 1u stated. No price quoted. |