Even Money
Every named pick from Even Money, graded at 1 unit.
Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Within noise
Season to date
- Units
- -4.3423 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -7.34 to +7.36 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- -0.97 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 53.6% needed · 43.5% hit
Over 23 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -7.34 and +7.36 units nine times in ten. Even Money is at -4.34, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- -4.34
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- -3.90
- 23 graded picks
- Price edge
- -0.44
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- none
- every price was quoted on air
Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -3.90 units, so the prices cost 0.44 units.
Where Even Money earns its money
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Show | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even MoneySide -2.27 (3-5)Total -0.27 (3-3)Parlay/Teaser -1.80 (4-5) | -2.273-5 | -0.273-3 | -1.804-5 |
Hosts
Joint picks appear under the label the show uses, such as Official five or Both.
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date, whatever the selector above is set to.
- Week 1: -4.34 units, season to date -4.34
Scroll sideways for later weeks.
| Show | Week 1 | Season |
|---|---|---|
| Even Money | -4.34 10-13 | -4.34 |
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air. Prices marked est. were not quoted.
| Wk | Host | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross | Side | 49ers +3.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Side | Colts +3.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Side | Buccaneers +3.5Loss -1.00↓ -0.5 (moved to +4) | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | -0.5 (moved to +4) | |
| 1 | Ross | Total | Commanders-Eagles under 44.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Side | Cardinals +10Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Side | Dolphins +3.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Side | Broncos +3Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars -2.5 + Texans +7.5Win +0.80 | -125 | Win | +0.80 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars -2.5 + Jets +7.5Win +0.80 | -125 | Win | +0.80 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Texans +7.5 + Jets +7.5Win +0.80 | -125 | Win | +0.80 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars -2.5 + Packers +7.5Loss -1.00 | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Texans +7.5 + Packers +7.5Loss -1.00 | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Ross | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jets +7.5 + Packers +7.5Loss -1.00 | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Fezzik | Total | Falcons-Steelers 1H under 21.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Fezzik | Side | Colts +3.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Fezzik | Total | Bucs-Bengals under 50.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Fezzik | Side | Cardinals +10Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Fezzik | Total | Dolphins-Raiders under 41.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Fezzik | Total | Dolphins-Raiders 1H under 20.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Fezzik | Total | Broncos-Chiefs 1H under 21.5Win +0.91↑ +1 (closed 20.5) | -110 | Win | +0.91 | +1 (closed 20.5) | |
| 1 | Fezzik | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Texans +7.5 + Jets +7.5Win +0.80Graded as two-team pairs | -125 | Win | +0.80 | Graded as two-team pairs | |
| 1 | Fezzik | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Texans +7.5 + Packers +7.5Loss -1.00Graded as two-team pairs | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Graded as two-team pairs | |
| 1 | Fezzik | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jets +7.5 + Packers +7.5Loss -1.00Graded as two-team pairs | -125 | Loss | -1.00 | Graded as two-team pairs |