Sharp or Square
Every named pick from Sharp or Square, graded at 1 unit.
Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Within noise
Season to date
- Units
- -2.5616 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -7.43 to +7.43 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- -0.57 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 49.2% needed · 43.8% hit
Over 16 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -7.43 and +7.43 units nine times in ten. Sharp or Square is at -2.56, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- -2.56
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- -2.63
- 16 graded picks
- Price edge
- +0.07
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- 3 plays, -1.78 units
- excluding them: -0.78
Sharp or Square hit 1 of 4 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -2.63 units, so +0.07 of the total came from the prices.
Where Sharp or Square earns its money
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Show | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp or SquareSide -1.36 (4-5)Total -1.00 (0-1)Moneyline -1.22 (2-2)Parlay/Teaser +1.02 (1-1) | -1.364-5 | -1.000-1 | -1.222-2 | +1.021-1 |
Hosts
Joint picks appear under the label the show uses, such as Official five or Both.
| Host | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both jointROI +30% | 3-2 | +1.49 | +30% |
| ChadROI +4% | 2-1 | +0.13 | +4% |
| Official five jointROI -24% | 2-3 | -1.18 | -24% |
| SimonROI -100% | 0-3 | -3.00 | -100% |
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date, whatever the selector above is set to.
- Week 1: -2.56 units, season to date -2.56
Scroll sideways for later weeks.
| Show | Week 1 | Season |
|---|---|---|
| Sharp or Square | -2.56 7-9 | -2.56 |
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air. Prices marked est. were not quoted.
| Wk | Host | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Official five | Side | Buccaneers +3.5Loss -1.00↓ -0.5 (moved to +4) | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | -0.5 (moved to +4) | |
| 1 | Official five | Side | Texans +1.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Official five | Side | Panthers +3Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Official five | Side | Giants +3.5Win +0.91↑ +0.5 (DK closed +3) | -110 | Win | +0.91 | +0.5 (DK closed +3) | |
| 1 | Official five | Side | Vikings -1.5Win +0.91↑ +0.5 or better (moved to -2/-2.5) | -110 | Win | +0.91 | +0.5 or better (moved to -2/-2.5) | |
| 1 | Both | Side | 49ers +3.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Both | Moneyline | Steelers MLWin +0.56↑ Big plus (closed near -300) | -178 | Win | +0.56 | Big plus (closed near -300) | |
| 1 | Both | Parlay/Teaser | Texans ML + Giants MLLoss -1.00 | +380 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Both | Parlay/Teaser | Steelers, Eagles, Lions MLWin +2.02 | +202 | Win | +2.02 | ||
| 1 | Both | Moneyline | Browns ML sprinkleLoss -1.00 | +320est. | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Simon | Total | Broncos-Chiefs over 42.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Simon | Side | Browns +8.5Loss -1.00↓ -0.5 (closed +9) | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | -0.5 (closed +9) | |
| 1 | Simon | Side | Seahawks -3.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Chad | Moneyline | Jaguars MLWin +0.22 | -450est. | Win | +0.22 | ||
| 1 | Chad | Side | JetsWin +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Chad | Moneyline | Dolphins MLLoss -1.00 | +150est. | Loss | -1.00 |