Brandon's Playground
Every named pick from Brandon's Playground, graded at 1 unit.
Luck or skill
Would a bettor with no edge land here? The range is where 90% of no-edge results fall at these prices.
Within noise
Season to date
- Units
- +3.4836 graded picks
- No-edge range
- -20.39 to +20.41 units90% of no-edge bettors land here
- Distance
- +0.28 sdz score
- Break-even vs actual
- 34.2% needed · 41.7% hit
Over 36 graded picks, a bettor with no edge would land between -20.39 and +20.41 units nine times in ten. Brandon's Playground is at +3.48, which is inside that range, so this is not yet evidence of skill.
A no-edge bettor actually loses the vig, so zero is a slightly generous bar.
Sides versus prices
The same results graded at a flat -110. The difference is what the quoted prices were worth.
- Quoted prices
- +3.48
- Season to date
- Flat −110
- -7.35
- 36 graded picks
- Price edge
- +10.83
- quoted minus flat
- Estimated prices
- 1 play, -1.00 units
- excluding them: +4.48
Brandon's Playground hit 4 of 20 plus-money picks. Graded at a flat −110 the same results are worth -7.35 units, so +10.83 of the total came from the prices.
Where Brandon's Playground earns its money
Units by bet type. Blank means no picks of that type in view.
| Show | Side | Total | Moneyline | Prop | Anytime TD | Ladder | Parlay/Teaser |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon's PlaygroundSide +1.46 (6-4)Total +0.82 (2-1)Prop +4.22 (3-1)Ladder -0.85 (3-12)Parlay/Teaser -2.17 (1-3) | +1.466-4 | +0.822-1 | +4.223-1 | -0.853-12 | -2.171-3 |
Hosts
Joint picks appear under the label the show uses, such as Official five or Both.
Week by week
Bars are units won or lost in the week. The gold line is the season to date, whatever the selector above is set to.
- Week 1: +3.48 units, season to date +3.48
Scroll sideways for later weeks.
| Show | Week 1 | Season |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon's Playground | +3.48 15-21 | +3.48 |
Every graded pick
Season to date, in the order the picks were made on air. Prices marked est. were not quoted.
| Wk | Host | Type | Pick | Price | Result | Units | CLV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon | Total | Broncos-Chiefs under 43.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Broncos-Chiefs under 37.5Loss -1.00 | +188 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Broncos-Chiefs under 33.5Loss -1.00 | +330 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Total | Dolphins-Raiders over 39.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Prop | Malik Willis over 36.5 rush ydsWin +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Willis 50+ rush ydsLoss -1.00 | +178 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Willis 70+ rush ydsLoss -1.00 | +574 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Willis 100+ rush ydsLoss -1.00 | +2400 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Prop | Willis anytime rush TDWin +3.40 | +340 | Win | +3.40 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Parlay/Teaser | Willis stack: game over, rush yds, rush TDLoss -1.00 | +850 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Prop | Erick All over 1.5 recLoss -1.00 | +145 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | All 2 rec and 20 ydsLoss -1.00 | +230 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | All 3+ recLoss -1.00 | +475 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | All 4+ recLoss -1.00 | +1200 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Cade Otton 6+ recLoss -1.00 | +650 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Otton 7+ recLoss -1.00 | +1280 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Otton 8+ recLoss -1.00 | +2300 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Prop | Chris Olave over 73.5 rec ydsWin +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Olave 100+ rec ydsWin +2.25 | +225 | Win | +2.25 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Olave 120+ rec ydsWin +4.50 | +450 | Win | +4.50 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Side | Steelers -3.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Total | Bills-Texans under 44.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Texans -6.5 altLoss -1.00 | +255 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Parlay/Teaser | Texans -6.5 + underLoss -1.00 | +420 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Side | Vikings -1.5Win +0.91↑ +0.5 or better (moved to -2/-2.5) | -110 | Win | +0.91 | +0.5 or better (moved to -2/-2.5) | |
| 1 | Brandon | Ladder | Vikings by 12.5+Win +4.40 | +440 | Win | +4.40 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Parlay/Teaser | Teaser: Jaguars -2.5 + Jets +7.5Win +0.83 | -120 | Win | +0.83 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Parlay/Teaser | Four-square parlayLoss -1.00 | +1000est. | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Side | Bears -2.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Brandon | Side | Buccaneers +3.5Loss -1.00↓ -0.5 (moved to +4) | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | -0.5 (moved to +4) | |
| 1 | Brandon | Side | Texans +1.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Matt | Side | Bears -2.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Matt | Side | Eagles -4.5Loss -1.00↑ +1 (closed -5.5) | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | +1 (closed -5.5) | |
| 1 | Matt | Side | Ravens -3.5Win +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 | ||
| 1 | Matt | Side | Broncos +2.5Loss -1.00 | -110 | Loss | -1.00 | ||
| 1 | Matt | Side | JetsWin +0.91 | -110 | Win | +0.91 |